Research is a work in progress. Estimated release: 1 December 2026. Our goal is to make it a search engine for trading setups in recorded crypto markets.
Binance USDT-MUAIUSDT rose 51% on 5 September 2026
Picked after the rise, on one market.
What happened
Price opened the 04:00 hour at 0.4574 and reached a highest trade of 0.6908 in the 02:00 hour; the tested readings were taken at 03:59.
What stood out at 03:59
- 1-hour range against usual0.2917Tested: 0.3 or lower
- Engulfing (1h)bullishTested: is bullish
- How many times the broken descending resistance had been tested4Tested: 3 or higher
03:59 always meets its own rules.
What the record says
Too few results to compare
Price at least 2% higher after 30 minutes
2 matches in 40,682 minutes checked.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Evidence
No test to open
Multiple recorded sectors: sector_alpha, sector_crypto. Choose one explicitly.
Exactly what was counted3 conditions · 2 of 40,682 minutes · saved text
- 1-hour range against usual 0.3 or lower. The last finished 1-hour candle's high to low range, as a multiple of its usual range.the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline ≤ 0.3 · feature.candle_compression_1h
- Engulfing (1h) is bullish.Engulfing · 1h bullish · feature.candle_engulfing_1h
- How many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higher.how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3 · feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches
Read at 1 minute before the move.
Read at 03:59 UTC on 5 September, one minute before the selected 04:00 start.
UAI only, 13 August to 11 September 2026 (UTC, ending 12 September 00:00); all 3 readings had values on 40,682 of those minutes.
Reference: every UAI minute over the same dates, matches included; it is not a matched control group.
Outcome: the close exactly 30 minutes later, not the highest or lowest price along the way.
The 04:00 start was picked automatically after the move.
UAIUSDT stored readings end 2026-09-12 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Prices and tick replay have separate coverage.
The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
Saved study q#b6d60340 @ dataset 6f4da1c2, counted 12 Sep 2026 09:12 UTC.
Saved summary text, as written 12 Sep 2026
Written automatically when this study was saved and kept as written; where a line differs from the counts above, the counts govern.
Minutes like this appeared only 2 times in the 40,682 minutes searched. What followed was more often lower: 2 of the 2 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward fell (100%).
0 rose and 2 fell over 2 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.1 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-05 alone holds 50% of them: this is close to a single episode.
The other reading times, as written
From 15 minutes before
Minutes like this appeared only 2 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was close to a coin flip: 1 rose and 1 fell over the next 30 minutes (2 of the 2 matches have a complete 30 minutes forward).
1 rose and 1 fell over 2 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.1 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-05 alone holds 50% of them: this is close to a single episode.
From 1 hour before
Minutes like this appeared only 2 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often lower: 2 of the 2 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward fell (100%).
0 rose and 2 fell over 2 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.1 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-05 alone holds 50% of them: this is close to a single episode.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 2 matches came on 2 of 30 days.
When the matches happened2 of 30 days
- 5 Sep1 match
- 10 Sep1 match
No matches on the other 28 days.
Of the 2 matches, 1 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 1 after it.
Neighbouring minutes overlap, so these are not 2 separate trials.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 2 matches came on 2 of 30 days.
Other time frames30 minutes to 7 days
The answer uses 30 minutes, the time frame this study counted by default. Each row counts the same matches at a later close, in both directions. The bars show how often price was 2% or more higher at each time frame: first the matches, then any UAI minute.
- 30 minutes
0 of 2 were 2% or more lower; any UAI minute 3,186 of 43,131 (7.4%).
Every match has a 30-minute close.
- 1 hour
0 of 2 were 2% or more lower; any UAI minute 5,121 of 43,102 (11.9%).
Every match has a 1-hour close.
- 4 hours
1 of 2 was 2% or more lower; any UAI minute 9,611 of 42,921 (22.4%).
Every match has a 4-hour close.
- 24 hours
1 of 2 was 2% or more lower; any UAI minute 11,639 of 41,724 (27.9%).
Every match has a 24-hour close.
- 72 hours
0 of 1 were 2% or more lower; any UAI minute 12,049 of 38,852 (31.0%).
1 without a 72-hour close yet, left out.
- 7 days
None of the 2 matches has a 7-day close yet, so there is no rate.
Any UAI minute: 30,053 of 33,101 (90.8%) were 2% or more higher, 2,313 of 33,101 (7.0%) lower.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 2 matches came on 2 of 30 days.
Readings at five times before the rise24 hours to 1 minute before · 2 other times tried
Highlights follow fixed rules, not significance tests. Proposed conditions round values or use ranges; inspect them before running.
24 hours before · 4 Sep 04:00 UTC · 10 of 63 stood out
Order book tilt 0.77 or higherOrder book lopsidedness 0.93 or higher4-hour range against usual 0.3 or lowerEngulfing (15m) is bullishLiquidation bunching 0.5 or higherHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hours15-minute price change 0.01 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.7737 ≥ 0.77 Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.9365 ≥ 0.93 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 0.2957 ≤ 0.3 Engulfing · 15m feature.candle_engulfing_15m bullish bullish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.506 ≥ 0.5 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 118 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 67 12 to 720 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.01015 ≥ 0.01 4 hours before · 5 Sep 00:00 UTC · 8 of 63 stood out
How many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursMinutes to funding 1 or lower15-minute price change 0.015 or higher1-hour price change -0.022 or lowerDistance from the day's average price 0.12 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 138 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 87 12 to 720 Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding 0 ≤ 1 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.0153 ≥ 0.015 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h -0.0222 ≤ -0.022 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.1258 ≥ 0.12 1 hour before · 5 Sep 03:00 UTC · 7 of 63 stood out
1-hour range against usual 0.3 or lowerEngulfing (1h) is bullishLower wick (15m) 0.64 or higherHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 0.2917 ≤ 0.3 Engulfing · 1h feature.candle_engulfing_1h bullish bullish Lower wick · 15m feature.candle_lower_wick_15m 0.6479 ≥ 0.64 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 141 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 90 12 to 720 15 minutes before · 5 Sep 03:45 UTC · 8 of 63 stood out
Order book tilt 0.5 or higher1-hour range against usual 0.3 or lowerEngulfing (1h) is bullishHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hours15-minute price change 0.017 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.5011 ≥ 0.5 the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 0.2917 ≤ 0.3 Engulfing · 1h feature.candle_engulfing_1h bullish bullish how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 141.8 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 90.75 12 to 720 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.01703 ≥ 0.017 1 minute before · 5 Sep 03:59 UTC · 6 of 63 stood out
1-hour range against usual 0.3 or lowerEngulfing (1h) is bullishHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 0.2917 ≤ 0.3 Engulfing · 1h feature.candle_engulfing_1h bullish bullish how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 142 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 90.98 12 to 720
Two other reading times we tried 2 and 2 matches
15 minutes before (03:45): order book tilt 0.5 or higher, 1-hour range against usual 0.3 or lower, engulfing (1h) is bullish.
Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.5 and the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline ≤ 0.3 and Engulfing · 1h bullish
2 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 0 of 2, and 2% or more lower in 0 of 2.
Of the 2 matches, 1 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 1 after it.
1 hour before (03:00): 1-hour range against usual 0.3 or lower, engulfing (1h) is bullish, lower wick (15m) 0.64 or higher.
the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline ≤ 0.3 and Engulfing · 1h bullish and Lower wick · 15m ≥ 0.64
2 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 0 of 2, and 2% or more lower in 0 of 2.
Of the 2 matches, 1 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 1 after it.
Fewer than 30 results, so no rate is printed.
No set had 30 matches before the rise; the saved study leads with the one that had the most.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 2 matches came on 2 of 30 days.
Hourly candles around the risefull context, lead-up, move
The 04:00 start was picked after the move, and the hour before was already rising.
Hourly candles, UTC. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start.
Other ways to test itsame dates
Multiple recorded sectors: sector_alpha, sector_crypto. Choose one explicitly.
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Starting defaults and coverage
Starting defaults: 2026-08-13 to 2026-09-12 UTC; finishes up 2% or more after 1 hour. Review or change the markets, dates, conditions and outcome before running. Current recorded classification and sector tags, not point-in-time membership. Historical membership may differ. Instrument history does not guarantee every setup input or outcome is present; actual study exclusions remain authoritative.