Research is a work in progress. Estimated release: 1 December 2026. Our goal is to make it a search engine for trading setups in recorded crypto markets.
Binance USDT-MUAIUSDT rose 62% on 29 August 2026
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Next stepWhat happened
Price opened the 15:00 hour at 0.2617 and reached a highest trade of 0.4245 in the 21:00 hour; the tested readings were taken at 14:00.
What stood out at 14:00
- Containment (15m)outsideTested: is outside
- Liquidation bunching0.5316Tested: 0.53 or higher
- Taker buy share (15m)0.7573Tested: 0.75 or higher
14:00 always meets its own rules.
What the record says
30 minutes later, 0 of 1 were at or above the match price and 1 below; no reference was saved
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Evidence
Does it hold on other dates?
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Exactly what was counted3 conditions · 1 of 43,201 minutes · saved text
- Containment (15m) is outside.Containment · 15m outside · feature.candle_containment_15m
- Liquidation bunching 0.53 or higher. How bunched in time recent liquidations were; higher means more bunched, and it stays below 1.Cascade clustering ≥ 0.53 · feature.cascade_clustering_index
- Taker buy share (15m) 0.75 or higher.Taker buy share · 15m ≥ 0.75 · feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m
Read at 1 hour before the move.
Read at 14:00 UTC on 29 August, one hour before the selected 15:00 start.
UAI only, 2 August to 31 August 2026 (UTC, ending 1 September 00:00); all 3 readings had values on 43,201 of those minutes.
Reference: every UAI minute over the same dates, matches included; it is not a matched control group.
Outcome: the close exactly 30 minutes later, not the highest or lowest price along the way.
The 15:00 start was picked automatically after the move.
UAIUSDT stored readings end 2026-09-01 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Prices and tick replay have separate coverage.
The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
Saved study q#1c356fa5 @ dataset 9bf4ae59, counted 2 Sep 2026 07:45 UTC.
Saved summary text, as written 2 Sep 2026
Written automatically when this study was saved and kept as written; where a line differs from the counts above, the counts govern.
Minutes like this appeared only 1 time in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed leaned down: 1 of the 1 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward fell (100%).
About 0 a day over 31 days, but 2026-08-29 alone holds 100% of them: this is close to a single episode.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
When the matches happened
Of the 1 match, 1 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 0 after it.
Neighbouring minutes overlap, so these are not 1 separate trials.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Readings at five times before the rise24 hours to 1 minute before
Highlights follow fixed rules, not significance tests. Proposed conditions round values or use ranges; inspect them before running.
24 hours before
No readings were recorded for this minute.
4 hours before
No readings were recorded for this minute.
1 hour before · 29 Aug 14:00 UTC · 3 of 39 stood out
Containment (15m) is outsideLiquidation bunching 0.53 or higherTaker buy share (15m) 0.75 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m outside outside Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5316 ≥ 0.53 Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.7573 ≥ 0.75 15 minutes before
No readings were recorded for this minute.
1 minute before
No readings were recorded for this minute.
Hourly candles around the risefull context, lead-up, move
The 15:00 start was picked after the move.
Hourly candles, UTC. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start.
Other ways to test itsame dates
Same 3 conditions on UAI, 3 July to 1 August 2026.
Each opens Review the test.
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