Research is a work in progress. Estimated release: 1 December 2026. Our goal is to make it a search engine for trading setups in recorded crypto markets.
Binance USDT-MUSELESSUSDT rose 167% on 2 September 2026
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Next stepWhat happened
Price opened the 13:00 hour at 0.1077 and reached a highest trade of 0.2879 in the 09:00 hour; the tested readings were taken at 12:45.
What stood out at 12:45
- Order book lopsidedness0.08659Tested: 0.087 or lower
- Sweep + reclaim (1h)bullishTested: is bullish
- How many times the broken descending resistance had been tested4Tested: 3 or higher
12:45 always meets its own rules.
What the record says
Less often than any USELESS minute, in this sample
Price at least 2% higher after 30 minutes
44 matches in 43,201 minutes checked.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Evidence
Does it hold on other dates?
Nothing runs until you press Run.
Exactly what was counted3 conditions · 44 of 43,201 minutes · saved text
- Order book lopsidedness 0.087 or lower. How lopsided the sizes at the best bid and ask were, either way, against recent readings; low means unusually even.Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.087 · feature.book_imbalance_pctrank
- Sweep + reclaim (1h) is bullish.Sweep + reclaim · 1h bullish · feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h
- How many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higher.how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3 · feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches
Read at 15 minutes before the move.
Read at 12:45 UTC on 2 September, 15 minutes before the selected 13:00 start.
USELESS only, 10 August to 8 September 2026 (UTC, ending 9 September 00:00); all 3 readings had values on 43,201 of those minutes.
Reference: every USELESS minute over the same dates, matches included; it is not a matched control group.
Outcome: the close exactly 30 minutes later, not the highest or lowest price along the way.
The 13:00 start was picked automatically after the move.
USELESSUSDT stored readings end 2026-09-09 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Prices and tick replay have separate coverage.
The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
Saved study q#f5430b02 @ dataset 418a74e4, counted 9 Sep 2026 09:58 UTC.
Saved summary text, as written 9 Sep 2026
Written automatically when this study was saved and kept as written; where a line differs from the counts above, the counts govern.
Minutes like this appeared 44 times in the 43,201 minutes searched (0.1%). What followed was close to a coin flip: 22 rose and 22 fell over the next 30 minutes (44 of the 44 matches have a complete 30 minutes forward).
After 7 days this setup fell 2% or more in 0 of 35 complete windows (0.0%), against 8.1% with no condition (2,692 of 33,054): 0.00x.
This reports the time frame with the biggest gap from any minute, chosen after counting. At least 8 of its 35 windows overlap the rise.
Best point inside 7 days reached +5% or more in 35 of 35 complete windows; worst point fell 5% or more in 30 of 35.
At least 30 windows did both.
About 1.4 a day, on 17 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
It counts the single minute on 9 September as a day.
The other reading times, as written
From 1 minute before
Minutes like this appeared 35 times in the 43,201 minutes searched (<0.1%). What followed was close to a coin flip: 16 rose and 19 fell over the next 30 minutes (35 of the 35 matches have a complete 30 minutes forward).
After 30 minutes this setup fell 2% or more in 5 of 35 complete windows (14.3%), against 6.9% with no condition (2,951 of 43,071): 2.09x.
About 1.1 a day, on 17 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
From 1 hour before
Minutes like this appeared only 10 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often higher: 6 of the 10 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (60%).
6 rose and 4 fell over 10 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.3 a day, on 6 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 44 matches came on 17 of 30 days.
When the matches happened17 of 30 days
- 10 Aug3 matches
- 11 Aug1 match
- 12 Aug1 match
- 13 Aug1 match
- 15 Aug4 matches
- 18 Aug5 matches
- 19 Aug1 match
- 22 Aug1 match
- 24 Aug5 matches
- 25 Aug4 matches
- 26 Aug1 match
- 28 Aug5 matches
- 30 Aug3 matches
- 2 Sep2 matches
- 5 Sep1 match
- 6 Sep5 matches
- 7 Sep1 match
No matches on the other 13 days.
Of the 44 matches, 37 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 7 after it.
Neighbouring minutes overlap, so these are not 44 separate trials.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 44 matches came on 17 of 30 days.
Other time frames30 minutes to 7 days
The answer uses 30 minutes, the time frame this study counted by default. Each row counts the same matches at a later close, in both directions. The bars show how often price was 2% or more higher at each time frame: first the matches, then any USELESS minute.
- 30 minutes
5 of 44 (11.4%) were 2% or more lower; any USELESS minute 2,951 of 43,071 (6.9%).
Every match has a 30-minute close.
- 1 hour
7 of 43 (16.3%) were 2% or more lower; any USELESS minute 4,641 of 43,037 (10.8%).
1 without a 1-hour close yet, left out.
- 4 hours
11 of 44 (25.0%) were 2% or more lower; any USELESS minute 10,080 of 42,857 (23.5%).
Every match has a 4-hour close.
- 24 hours
15 of 44 (34.1%) were 2% or more lower; any USELESS minute 10,745 of 41,657 (25.8%).
Every match has a 24-hour close.
- 72 hours
8 of 38 (21.1%) were 2% or more lower; any USELESS minute 9,109 of 38,779 (23.5%).
6 without a 72-hour close yet, left out.
- 7 days
0 of 35 (0.0%) were 2% or more lower; any USELESS minute 2,692 of 33,054 (8.1%).
9 without a 7-day close yet, left out.
At least 8 of these windows overlap the rise.
The saved summary picked, after counting, the time frame with the biggest gap from any minute: 7 days.
After 7 days this setup fell 2% or more in 0 of 35 complete windows (0.0%), against 8.1% with no condition (2,692 of 33,054): 0.00x.
Only 35 of the 44 matches have a 7-day close, all from 10 to 30 August, and at least 8 of those windows ran through the rise itself, so it partly counts the rise as an outcome.
Along the way (the highest and lowest price inside 7 days, not the close):
Best point inside 7 days reached +5% or more in 35 of 35 complete windows; worst point fell 5% or more in 30 of 35.
At least 30 windows did both, so this describes a very jumpy stretch, not a direction.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 44 matches came on 17 of 30 days.
Readings at five times before the rise24 hours to 1 minute before · 2 other times tried
Highlights follow fixed rules, not significance tests. Proposed conditions round values or use ranges; inspect them before running.
24 hours before · 1 Sep 13:00 UTC · 9 of 58 stood out
Order book tilt -0.76 or lower4-hour range against usual 2.7 or higherContainment (15m) is insideHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hours15-minute price change 0.018 or higherDistance from the day's average price 0.052 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.7676 ≤ -0.76 the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h 2.782 ≥ 2.7 Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 22 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 22 12 to 720 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.01877 ≥ 0.018 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.05252 ≥ 0.052 4 hours before · 2 Sep 09:00 UTC · 13 of 58 stood out
Order book tilt -0.52 or lowerOrder book lopsidedness 0.094 or lowerEngulfing (1h) is bearishLower wick (15m) 0.65 or higherSweep + reclaim (15m) is bullishSweep + reclaim (1h) is bearishHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursVolatility rank 0.92 or higher15-minute price change -0.01 or lower1-hour price change -0.037 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.5297 ≤ -0.52 Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.09385 ≤ 0.094 Engulfing · 1h feature.candle_engulfing_1h bearish bearish Lower wick · 15m feature.candle_lower_wick_15m 0.6586 ≥ 0.65 Sweep + reclaim · 15m feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_15m bullish bullish Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h bearish bearish how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 42 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 42 12 to 720 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 0.9291 ≥ 0.92 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m -0.01068 ≤ -0.01 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h -0.03768 ≤ -0.037 1 hour before · 2 Sep 12:00 UTC · 10 of 58 stood out
Order book tilt -0.83 or lower15-minute range against usual 2 or higherSweep + reclaim (1h) is bullishHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hours15-minute price change 0.061 or higher1-hour price change 0.036 or higherDistance from the day's average price -0.039 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.8309 ≤ -0.83 Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 2.095 ≥ 2 Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h bullish bullish how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 45 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 45 12 to 720 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.06154 ≥ 0.061 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.03665 ≥ 0.036 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist -0.03997 ≤ -0.039 15 minutes before · 2 Sep 12:45 UTC · 9 of 58 stood out
Order book lopsidedness 0.087 or lowerSweep + reclaim (1h) is bullishHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hours15-minute price change 0.019 or higher1-hour price change 0.071 or higherDistance from the day's average price -0.028 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.08659 ≤ 0.087 Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h bullish bullish how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 45.75 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 45.75 12 to 720 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.01939 ≥ 0.019 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.07122 ≥ 0.071 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist -0.02849 ≤ -0.028 1 minute before · 2 Sep 12:59 UTC · 7 of 58 stood out
Sweep + reclaim (1h) is bullishHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hours15-minute price change 0.016 or higher1-hour price change 0.042 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h bullish bullish how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 45.98 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 45.98 12 to 720 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.01659 ≥ 0.016 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.04233 ≥ 0.042
Two other reading times we tried 35 and 10 matches
1 minute before (12:59): sweep + reclaim (1h) is bullish, how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higher, how long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720.
Sweep + reclaim · 1h bullish and how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3 and how long ago the descending resistance broke 12 to 720
35 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 4 of 35 (11.4%), and 2% or more lower in 5 of 35 (14.3%).
Of the 35 matches, 29 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 6 after it.
1 hour before (12:00): order book tilt -0.83 or lower, 15-minute range against usual 2 or higher, sweep + reclaim (1h) is bullish.
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.83 and Compression · 15m ≥ 2 and Sweep + reclaim · 1h bullish
10 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 3 of 10, and 2% or more lower in 1 of 10.
Of the 10 matches, 8 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 2 after it.
Rows with fewer than 30 results print counts only.
The saved study leads with 12:45 because it is the only set with at least 30 matches before the rise.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 44 matches came on 17 of 30 days.
Hourly candles around the risefull context, lead-up, move
The 13:00 start was picked after the move, and the hour before was already rising.
Hourly candles, UTC. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start.
Other ways to test itsame dates
- This market only
- The 47 meme sector markets · No result for these markets has been measured.
- Every recorded market
Same 3 conditions on USELESS, 11 July to 9 August 2026.
Each opens Review the test.
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