Research is a work in progress. Estimated release: 1 December 2026. Our goal is to make it a search engine for trading setups in recorded crypto markets.
Binance USDT-MUSELESSUSDT rose 180% on 1 September 2026
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Next stepWhat happened
Price opened the 12:00 hour at 0.1028 and reached a highest trade of 0.2879 in the 09:00 hour; the tested readings were taken at 11:59.
What stood out at 11:59
- Order book tilt-0.5347Tested: -0.53 or lower
- 15-minute range against usual2.195Tested: 2.1 or higher
- Volatility rank0.98Tested: 0.97 or higher
11:59 always meets its own rules.
What the record says
More often than any USELESS minute, in this sample
Price at least 2% higher after 30 minutes
35 matches in 43,201 minutes checked.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Evidence
Does it hold on other dates?
Nothing runs until you press Run.
Exactly what was counted3 conditions · 35 of 43,201 minutes · saved text
- Order book tilt -0.53 or lower. Size at the best bid against the best ask; above 0 means more bids, below 0 more asks.Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.53 · feature.book_imbalance
- 15-minute range against usual 2.1 or higher. The last finished 15-minute candle's high to low range, as a multiple of its usual range.Compression · 15m ≥ 2.1 · feature.candle_compression_15m
- Volatility rank 0.97 or higher. How volatile the last hour was against this market's history, on a 0 to 1 scale.Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.97 · feature.realized_vol_pctrank
Read at 1 minute before the move.
Read at 11:59 UTC on 1 September, one minute before the selected 12:00 start.
USELESS only, 9 August to 7 September 2026 (UTC, ending 8 September 00:00); all 3 readings had values on 43,201 of those minutes.
Reference: every USELESS minute over the same dates, matches included; it is not a matched control group.
Outcome: the close exactly 30 minutes later, not the highest or lowest price along the way.
The 12:00 start was picked automatically after the move.
USELESSUSDT stored readings end 2026-09-08 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Prices and tick replay have separate coverage.
The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
Saved study q#1341b6ac @ dataset cbaead34, counted 8 Sep 2026 08:28 UTC.
Saved summary text, as written 8 Sep 2026
Written automatically when this study was saved and kept as written; where a line differs from the counts above, the counts govern.
Minutes like this appeared 35 times in the 43,201 minutes searched (<0.1%). What followed was more often higher: 22 of the 35 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (63%).
After 30 minutes this setup fell 2% or more in 6 of 35 complete windows (17.1%), against 6.4% with no condition (2,744 of 43,063): 2.69x.
This reports the time frame with the biggest gap from any minute, chosen after counting. At least 6 of its 35 windows overlap the rise.
Best point inside 30 minutes reached +5% or more in 3 of 35 complete windows; worst point fell 5% or more in 3 of 35.
About 1.1 a day, on 22 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
It counts the single minute on 8 September as a day.
The other reading times, as written
From 15 minutes before
Minutes like this appeared only 5 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often lower: 3 of the 5 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward fell (60%).
2 rose and 3 fell over 5 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.2 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-01 alone holds 40% of them: this is close to a single episode.
From 1 hour before
Minutes like this appeared only 26 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often higher: 15 of the 26 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (58%).
15 rose and 11 fell over 26 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.8 a day, on 16 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 35 matches came on 22 of 30 days, 6 during the rise.
When the matches happened22 of 30 days
- 9 Aug2 matches
- 11 Aug1 match
- 12 Aug1 match
- 16 Aug2 matches
- 18 Aug2 matches
- 19 Aug2 matches
- 20 Aug1 match
- 21 Aug2 matches
- 23 Aug1 match
- 24 Aug1 match
- 26 Aug1 match
- 27 Aug2 matches
- 28 Aug2 matches
- 29 Aug1 match
- 30 Aug3 matches
- 1 Sep2 matches
- 2 Sep2 matches
- 3 Sep3 matches
- 4 Sep1 match
- 5 Sep1 match
- 6 Sep1 match
- 7 Sep1 match
No matches on the other 8 days.
Of the 35 matches, 25 came before the rise began, 6 during it and 4 after it.
Neighbouring minutes overlap, so these are not 35 separate trials.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 35 matches came on 22 of 30 days, 6 during the rise.
Other time frames30 minutes to 7 days
The answer uses 30 minutes, the time frame this study counted by default. Each row counts the same matches at a later close, in both directions. The bars show how often price was 2% or more higher at each time frame: first the matches, then any USELESS minute.
- 30 minutes
6 of 35 (17.1%) were 2% or more lower; any USELESS minute 2,744 of 43,063 (6.4%).
Every match has a 30-minute close.
At least 6 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 1 hour
5 of 35 (14.3%) were 2% or more lower; any USELESS minute 4,378 of 43,031 (10.2%).
Every match has a 1-hour close.
At least 6 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 4 hours
11 of 35 (31.4%) were 2% or more lower; any USELESS minute 10,045 of 42,852 (23.4%).
Every match has a 4-hour close.
At least 6 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 24 hours
9 of 34 (26.5%) were 2% or more lower; any USELESS minute 11,541 of 41,653 (27.7%).
1 without a 24-hour close yet, left out.
At least 6 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 72 hours
9 of 32 (28.1%) were 2% or more lower; any USELESS minute 10,093 of 38,775 (26.0%).
3 without a 72-hour close yet, left out.
At least 9 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 7 days
1 of 24 was 2% or more lower; any USELESS minute 3,008 of 33,042 (9.1%).
11 without a 7-day close yet, left out.
At least 9 of these windows overlap the rise.
The saved summary picked, after counting, the time frame with the biggest gap from any minute: 30 minutes.
After 30 minutes this setup fell 2% or more in 6 of 35 complete windows (17.1%), against 6.4% with no condition (2,744 of 43,063): 2.69x.
At least 6 of those windows ran through the rise itself, so it partly counts the rise as an outcome.
Along the way (the highest and lowest price inside 30 minutes, not the close):
Best point inside 30 minutes reached +5% or more in 3 of 35 complete windows; worst point fell 5% or more in 3 of 35.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 35 matches came on 22 of 30 days, 6 during the rise.
Readings at five times before the rise24 hours to 1 minute before · 2 other times tried
Highlights follow fixed rules, not significance tests. Proposed conditions round values or use ranges; inspect them before running.
24 hours before · 31 Aug 12:00 UTC · 15 of 58 stood out
Order book tilt -0.91 or lowerThe descending resistance line is active 4hThe distance from price back to the broken descending resistance between -0.5 and 0.5How many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherThe distance from price to the descending resistance between 0 and 1How long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720The short descending resistance line is active 4hThe distance from price back to the broken short descending resistance between -0.5 and 0.5Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreThe distance from price to the short descending resistance between 0 and 1Time since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is fallingTouches on the resistance 3 or moreThe support under the descending resistance is fallingHow many times price has touched the descending resistance 3 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.9126 ≤ -0.91 the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_active active_4h active_4h the distance from price back to the broken descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_broken_dist_atr -0.4272 -0.5 to 0.5 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 the distance from price to the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_dist_atr 0.8144 0 to 1 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 97 12 to 720 the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h the distance from price back to the broken short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_dist_atr -0.4272 -0.5 to 0.5 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 the distance from price to the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_dist_atr 0.7662 0 to 1 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 97 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support falling falling how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 3 ≥ 3 the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_support falling falling how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches 4 ≥ 3 4 hours before · 1 Sep 08:00 UTC · 9 of 58 stood out
Order book tilt 0.6 or higherEngulfing (1h) is bearishHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursMinutes to funding 1 or lowerOpen interest change rank 0.99 or higher15-minute price change -0.018 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.604 ≥ 0.6 Engulfing · 1h feature.candle_engulfing_1h bearish bearish how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 17 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 17 12 to 720 Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding 0 ≤ 1 OI velocity percentile feature.oi_velocity_pctrank 0.999 ≥ 0.99 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m -0.01856 ≤ -0.018 1 hour before · 1 Sep 11:00 UTC · 11 of 58 stood out
Order book tilt -0.66 or lower1-hour range against usual 2.3 or higherSweep + reclaim (15m) is bearishHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursVolatility rank 0.96 or higher15-minute price change 0.019 or higher1-hour price change 0.091 or higherDistance from the day's average price 0.064 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.6624 ≤ -0.66 the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 2.357 ≥ 2.3 Sweep + reclaim · 15m feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_15m bearish bearish how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 20 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 20 12 to 720 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 0.9659 ≥ 0.96 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.01979 ≥ 0.019 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.09104 ≥ 0.091 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.06471 ≥ 0.064 15 minutes before · 1 Sep 11:45 UTC · 11 of 58 stood out
Order book tilt 0.98 or higher15-minute range against usual 2.1 or higher1-hour range against usual 2.3 or higherHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursVolatility rank 0.98 or higher15-minute price change 0.036 or higher1-hour price change 0.047 or higherDistance from the day's average price 0.078 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.9865 ≥ 0.98 Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 2.195 ≥ 2.1 the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 2.357 ≥ 2.3 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 20.75 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 20.75 12 to 720 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 0.987 ≥ 0.98 Return · 15m feature.ret_15m 0.03609 ≥ 0.036 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.04767 ≥ 0.047 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.07819 ≥ 0.078 1 minute before · 1 Sep 11:59 UTC · 10 of 58 stood out
Order book tilt -0.53 or lower15-minute range against usual 2.1 or higher1-hour range against usual 2.3 or higherHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursVolatility rank 0.97 or higher1-hour price change 0.03 or higherDistance from the day's average price 0.081 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.5347 ≤ -0.53 Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m 2.195 ≥ 2.1 the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_1h 2.357 ≥ 2.3 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 20.98 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 20.98 12 to 720 Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank 0.98 ≥ 0.97 Return · 1h feature.ret_1h 0.03047 ≥ 0.03 VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist 0.08149 ≥ 0.081
Two other reading times we tried 5 and 26 matches
15 minutes before (11:45): order book tilt 0.98 or higher, 15-minute range against usual 2.1 or higher, volatility rank 0.98 or higher.
Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.98 and Compression · 15m ≥ 2.1 and Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.98
5 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 0 of 5, and 2% or more lower in 1 of 5.
Of the 5 matches, 2 came before the rise began, 3 during it and 0 after it.
1 hour before (11:00): order book tilt -0.66 or lower, 1-hour range against usual 2.3 or higher, volatility rank 0.96 or higher.
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.66 and the last one-hour candle range versus its baseline ≥ 2.3 and Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.96
26 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 5 of 26, and 2% or more lower in 1 of 26.
Of the 26 matches, 18 came before the rise began, 5 during it and 3 after it.
Fewer than 30 results, so no rate is printed.
No set had 30 matches before the rise; the saved study leads with the one that had the most.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 35 matches came on 22 of 30 days, 6 during the rise.
Hourly candles around the risefull context, lead-up, move
The 12:00 start was picked after the move, and the hour before was already rising.
Hourly candles, UTC. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start.
Other ways to test itsame dates
- This market only
- The 47 meme sector markets · No result for these markets has been measured.
- Every recorded market
Same 3 conditions on USELESS, 10 July to 8 August 2026.
Each opens Review the test.
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