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USEUSELESSUSDTBinance USDT-M
Saved 6 Sep 2026 · will not change

USELESSUSDT rose 288% on 31 August 2026

What happenedUp 288% from the 15:00 UTC open to the 09:00 high on 4 September.Chart
Before itAt 14:59, 17 of 58 readings stood out; 3 were tested together.Setup
The recordToo few results to compare.Result

Picked after the rise, on one market.

Next step

What happened

Readings0.30590.045131 Aug01 Sep02 Sep03 Sep04 SepHighest trade 0.2879 in the 09:00 UTC hour on 4 September

Price opened the 15:00 hour at 0.07426 and reached a highest trade of 0.2879 in the 09:00 hour; the tested readings were taken at 14:59.

What stood out at 14:59

14:59 always meets its own rules.

What the record says

7 Aug to 5 Sep 2026

Too few results to compare

Price at least 2% higher after 30 minutes

This setup
0/2 measured outcomes · fewer than 30, so no rate is printed
Any USELESS minute, same dates
3,844/43,055 (8.9%)
0%10%

2 matches in 43,168 minutes checked.

Picked after the rise, on one market.

Evidence
At least 2% lower after 30 minutes
2% or more lower: 0 of 2; the other 2 closed less than 2% either way.
Direction only, any size, after 30 minutes
2 at or above the match price, 0 below; most of both were under 2% (2 of 2).
Reference
Every USELESS minute from 7 August to 5 September 2026 with a 30-minute close, the 2 matches included; not a matched control group. 146 minutes at the end of the dates had no 30-minute close yet and are left out, not counted as zero.
Did not reach the outcome
2 of 2 were not 2% or more higher.
Not a trading test
Entry, exit, fees, slippage and risk are not tested.

Does it hold on more dates?

Test it on the 30 days before

Nothing runs until you press Run.

Details
Exactly what was counted3 conditions · 2 of 43,168 minutes · saved text
  • Order book tilt 0.93 or higher. Size at the best bid against the best ask; above 0 means more bids, below 0 more asks.Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.93 · feature.book_imbalance
  • 15-minute range against usual 2.9 or higher. The last finished 15-minute candle's high to low range, as a multiple of its usual range.Compression · 15m ≥ 2.9 · feature.candle_compression_15m
  • Open interest change rank 0.99 or higher. How unusual the change in open positions was, opening or closing, on a 0 to 1 scale.OI velocity percentile ≥ 0.99 · feature.oi_velocity_pctrank

Read at 1 minute before the move.

Read at 14:59 UTC on 31 August, one minute before the selected 15:00 start.

USELESS only, 7 August to 5 September 2026 (UTC, ending 6 September 00:00); all 3 readings had values on 43,168 of those minutes.

Reference: every USELESS minute over the same dates, matches included; it is not a matched control group.

Outcome: the close exactly 30 minutes later, not the highest or lowest price along the way.

The 15:00 start was picked automatically after the move.

USELESSUSDT stored readings end 2026-09-06 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Prices and tick replay have separate coverage.

The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.

This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.

Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.

Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.

If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.

Saved study q#48adacd5 @ dataset efb3e60c, counted 6 Sep 2026 07:59 UTC.

Saved summary text, as written 6 Sep 2026

Written automatically when this study was saved and kept as written; where a line differs from the counts above, the counts govern.

Minutes like this appeared only 2 times in the 43,168 minutes searched. What followed was more often higher: 2 of the 2 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (100%).
2 rose and 0 fell over 2 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.1 a day over 31 days, but 2026-08-14 alone holds 50% of them: this is close to a single episode.

The other reading times, as written

From 15 minutes before

Minutes like this appeared only 2 times in the 43,168 minutes searched. What followed was more often higher: 2 of the 2 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (100%).
2 rose and 0 fell over 2 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.1 a day over 31 days, but 2026-08-28 alone holds 50% of them: this is close to a single episode.

From 1 hour before

Minutes like this appeared only 2 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often higher: 2 of the 2 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (100%).
2 rose and 0 fell over 2 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.1 a day over 31 days, but 2026-08-27 alone holds 50% of them: this is close to a single episode.

Picked after the rise, on one market; the 2 matches came on 2 of 30 days.

When the matches happened2 of 30 days
  • 14 Aug1 match
  • 31 Aug1 match

No matches on the other 28 days.

Of the 2 matches, 2 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 0 after it.

Neighbouring minutes overlap, so these are not 2 separate trials.

Picked after the rise, on one market; the 2 matches came on 2 of 30 days.

Other time frames30 minutes to 7 days

The answer uses 30 minutes, the time frame this study counted by default. Each row counts the same matches at a later close, in both directions. The bars show how often price was 2% or more higher at each time frame: first the matches, then any USELESS minute.

  1. 30 minutes
    Matches0 of 2 · fewer than 30, no rate
    Any USELESS minute
    3,844 of 43,055 (8.9%)

    0 of 2 were 2% or more lower; any USELESS minute 2,264 of 43,055 (5.3%).

    Every match has a 30-minute close.

  2. 1 hour
    Matches1 of 2 · fewer than 30, no rate
    Any USELESS minute
    6,427 of 43,021 (14.9%)

    0 of 2 were 2% or more lower; any USELESS minute 3,710 of 43,021 (8.6%).

    Every match has a 1-hour close.

  3. 4 hours
    Matches1 of 2 · fewer than 30, no rate
    Any USELESS minute
    13,382 of 42,841 (31.2%)

    0 of 2 were 2% or more lower; any USELESS minute 9,215 of 42,841 (21.5%).

    Every match has a 4-hour close.

  4. 24 hours
    Matches1 of 2 · fewer than 30, no rate
    Any USELESS minute
    22,618 of 41,641 (54.3%)

    0 of 2 were 2% or more lower; any USELESS minute 11,982 of 41,641 (28.8%).

    Every match has a 24-hour close.

  5. 72 hours
    Matches2 of 2 · fewer than 30, no rate
    Any USELESS minute
    22,886 of 38,769 (59.0%)

    0 of 2 were 2% or more lower; any USELESS minute 11,921 of 38,769 (30.7%).

    Every match has a 72-hour close.

  6. 7 days
    Matches1 of 1 · fewer than 30, no rate
    Any USELESS minute
    25,324 of 33,014 (76.7%)

    0 of 1 were 2% or more lower; any USELESS minute 5,066 of 33,014 (15.3%).

    1 without a 7-day close yet, left out.

0%100%

Picked after the rise, on one market; the 2 matches came on 2 of 30 days.

Readings at five times before the rise24 hours to 1 minute before · 2 other times tried

Highlights follow fixed rules, not significance tests. Proposed conditions round values or use ranges; inspect them before running.

  1. 24 hours before · 30 Aug 15:00 UTC · 8 of 58 stood out

    Order book tilt 0.87 or higher4-hour range against usual 0.47 or lowerContainment (15m) is outsideLiquidation bunching 0.53 or higherHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hours
    Show the full readings
    ReadingValue at that minuteStored rule
    Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance0.8778≥ 0.87
    the last four-hour candle range versus its baseline feature.candle_compression_4h0.466≤ 0.47
    Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15moutsideoutside
    Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index0.5352≥ 0.53
    how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches4≥ 3
    how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break7612 to 720
    how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches4≥ 3
    how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break7612 to 720
  2. 4 hours before · 31 Aug 11:00 UTC · 13 of 58 stood out

    Order book tilt -0.95 or lowerThe descending resistance line is active 4hHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherThe distance from price to the descending resistance between 0 and 1How long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720The short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreThe distance from price to the short descending resistance between 0 and 1Time since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is fallingTouches on the resistance 3 or moreThe support under the descending resistance is fallingHow many times price has touched the descending resistance 3 or higher
    Show the full readings
    ReadingValue at that minuteStored rule
    Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance-0.9583≤ -0.95
    the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_activeactive_4hactive_4h
    how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches4≥ 3
    the distance from price to the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_dist_atr0.57430 to 1
    how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break9612 to 720
    the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_activeactive_4hactive_4h
    how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches4≥ 3
    the distance from price to the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_dist_atr0.52650 to 1
    how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break9612 to 720
    the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_supportfallingfalling
    how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches3≥ 3
    the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_supportfallingfalling
    how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches4≥ 3
  3. 1 hour before · 31 Aug 14:00 UTC · 13 of 58 stood out

    Sweep + reclaim (1h) is bearishThe descending resistance line is active 4hHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherThe distance from price to the descending resistance between 0 and 1How long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720The short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreThe distance from price to the short descending resistance between 0 and 1Time since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is fallingTouches on the resistance 3 or moreThe support under the descending resistance is fallingHow many times price has touched the descending resistance 3 or higher
    Show the full readings
    ReadingValue at that minuteStored rule
    Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1hbearishbearish
    the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_activeactive_4hactive_4h
    how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches4≥ 3
    the distance from price to the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_dist_atr0.47450 to 1
    how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break9912 to 720
    the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_activeactive_4hactive_4h
    how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches4≥ 3
    the distance from price to the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_dist_atr0.42770 to 1
    how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break9912 to 720
    the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_supportfallingfalling
    how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches3≥ 3
    the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_supportfallingfalling
    how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches4≥ 3
  4. 15 minutes before · 31 Aug 14:45 UTC · 18 of 58 stood out

    Order book tilt -0.99 or lowerOrder book lopsidedness 0.1 or lower15-minute range against usual 2.9 or higherSweep + reclaim (1h) is bearishThe descending resistance line is active 4hHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720The short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is fallingTouches on the resistance 3 or moreThe support under the descending resistance is fallingHow many times price has touched the descending resistance 3 or higherOpen interest change rank 0.99 or higher15-minute price change 0.022 or higher1-hour price change 0.024 or higherDistance from the day's average price 0.043 or higher
    Show the full readings
    ReadingValue at that minuteStored rule
    Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance-0.9982≤ -0.99
    Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank0.09964≤ 0.1
    Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m2.905≥ 2.9
    Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1hbearishbearish
    the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_activeactive_4hactive_4h
    how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches4≥ 3
    how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break99.7512 to 720
    the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_activeactive_4hactive_4h
    how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches4≥ 3
    how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break99.7512 to 720
    the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_supportfallingfalling
    how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches3≥ 3
    the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_supportfallingfalling
    how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches4≥ 3
    OI velocity percentile feature.oi_velocity_pctrank1≥ 0.99
    Return · 15m feature.ret_15m0.02235≥ 0.022
    Return · 1h feature.ret_1h0.02441≥ 0.024
    VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist0.04353≥ 0.043
  5. 1 minute before · 31 Aug 14:59 UTC · 17 of 58 stood out

    Order book tilt 0.93 or higher15-minute range against usual 2.9 or higherSweep + reclaim (1h) is bearishThe descending resistance line is active 4hHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720The short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is fallingTouches on the resistance 3 or moreThe support under the descending resistance is fallingHow many times price has touched the descending resistance 3 or higherOpen interest change rank 0.99 or higher15-minute price change 0.027 or higher1-hour price change 0.058 or higherDistance from the day's average price 0.067 or higher
    Show the full readings
    ReadingValue at that minuteStored rule
    Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance0.932≥ 0.93
    Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m2.905≥ 2.9
    Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1hbearishbearish
    the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_activeactive_4hactive_4h
    how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches4≥ 3
    how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break99.9812 to 720
    the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_activeactive_4hactive_4h
    how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches4≥ 3
    how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break99.9812 to 720
    the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_supportfallingfalling
    how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches3≥ 3
    the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_supportfallingfalling
    how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches4≥ 3
    OI velocity percentile feature.oi_velocity_pctrank0.9997≥ 0.99
    Return · 15m feature.ret_15m0.02758≥ 0.027
    Return · 1h feature.ret_1h0.05824≥ 0.058
    VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist0.06709≥ 0.067

Two other reading times we tried 2 and 2 matches

15 minutes before (14:45): order book tilt -0.99 or lower, order book lopsidedness 0.1 or lower, open interest change rank 0.99 or higher.

Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.99 and Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.1 and OI velocity percentile ≥ 0.99

2 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 1 of 2, and 2% or more lower in 0 of 2.

Of the 2 matches, 2 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 0 after it.

1 hour before (14:00): sweep + reclaim (1h) is bearish, the descending resistance line is active 4h, how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higher.

Sweep + reclaim · 1h bearish and the descending resistance line active_4h and how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3

2 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 1 of 2, and 2% or more lower in 0 of 2.

Of the 2 matches, 2 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 0 after it.

Fewer than 30 results, so no rate is printed.

No set had 30 matches before the rise; the saved study leads with the one that had the most.

Picked after the rise, on one market; the 2 matches came on 2 of 30 days.

Hourly candles around the risefull context, lead-up, move

The 15:00 start was picked after the move, and the hour before was already rising.

Price history: lead-up and selected move
selected startreadings taken here+288%0.056610.133680.31566Aug 30 13:00Aug 31 15:00Sep 4 13:00UTC · log price scale

Hourly candles, UTC. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start.

Other ways to test itsame dates

Same 3 conditions on USELESS, 8 July to 6 August 2026.

Each opens Review the test.

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