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VELVETUSDT rose 105% into Aug 11. The record covers the whole lead-up.

Move window: 2026-08-11 09:00 to 2026-08-11 11:00 UTC. The record for VELVETUSDT currently ends 2026-08-14 00:00 UTC.

Counted on 2026-08-15, against a record covering to 2026-08-14 00:00 UTC. These numbers are frozen: this page will always say what it said the day it was written.

This move is in the event archive as a flash pump on 2026-08-11. Open the archived event

Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.61 and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.5 and feature.desc_resistance_active active_1d

feature.book_imbalance + feature.cascade_clustering_index + feature.desc_resistance_active

Read at 1 minute before the move.

Minutes like this appeared 31 times in the 43,201 minutes searched (<0.1%). What followed leaned down: 21 of the 31 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward fell (68%).

Both are true: these readings sat before this rise, and the other times they appeared, what followed more often fell. That disagreement is the finding: a lead-up that looks special is not the same as one that usually comes before rises.

Of the 31 fires, 30 came before the move began and 1 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.

About 1 a day over 31 days, but 2026-08-10 alone holds 71% of them: this is close to a single episode.

q#8b301005 @ dataset de1f6756

WATCH FOR THIS Watch the ignition replay

Best supported: Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.61 and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.5 and feature.desc_resistance_active active_1d, the combination with the most fires before the move began.

Opens this exact search in the research tool. Nothing runs until you confirm it there, and arming it as an alert sends a message when it next becomes true.

No account? Replay a real move tick by tick, free: TUT short squeeze · 9 Aug 2026.

Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.

What the minutes before it looked like

Where these readings were taken

Hourly candles. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the move began. Every one of them sits before the move, never inside it.

A reading stands out when it sits outside the range it usually holds. The rules are fixed: the same ones the moment reader on the research page uses.

At 1 minute before the move, 4 of the 39 readings stood out. 2026-08-11 08:59 UTC

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance	0.6134	≥ 0.61
Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index	0.5094	≥ 0.5
feature.desc_resistance_active feature.desc_resistance_active	active_1d	active_1d
feature.desc_resistance_support feature.desc_resistance_support	falling	falling

At 15 minutes before the move, 6 of the 39 readings stood out. 2026-08-11 08:45 UTC

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank	0.07314	≤ 0.074
Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index	0.5094	≥ 0.5
feature.desc_resistance_active feature.desc_resistance_active	active_1d	active_1d
feature.desc_resistance_support feature.desc_resistance_support	falling	falling
OI velocity percentile feature.oi_velocity_pctrank	0.9761	≥ 0.97
Return · 15m feature.ret_15m	-0.01418	≤ -0.014

At 1 hour before the move, 5 of the 39 readings stood out. 2026-08-11 08:00 UTC

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index	0.5094	≥ 0.5
feature.desc_resistance_active feature.desc_resistance_active	active_1d	active_1d
feature.desc_resistance_support feature.desc_resistance_support	falling	falling
Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding	0	≤ 1
Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m	0.2854	≤ 0.29

At 4 hours before the move, 5 of the 39 readings stood out. 2026-08-11 05:00 UTC

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m	0.4874	≤ 0.49
Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m	inside	inside
Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index	0.509	≥ 0.5
feature.desc_resistance_active feature.desc_resistance_active	active_1d	active_1d
feature.desc_resistance_support feature.desc_resistance_support	falling	falling

At 24 hours before the move, 5 of the 39 readings stood out. 2026-08-10 09:00 UTC

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index	0.5067	≥ 0.5
feature.desc_resistance_active feature.desc_resistance_active	active_1d	active_1d
feature.desc_resistance_support feature.desc_resistance_support	falling	falling
Return · 1h feature.ret_1h	-0.02018	≤ -0.02
Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m	0.6696	≥ 0.66

Also counted

This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.

Book imbalance percentile ≤ 0.074 and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.5 and OI velocity percentile ≥ 0.97

feature.book_imbalance_pctrank + feature.cascade_clustering_index + feature.oi_velocity_pctrank

Read at 15 minutes before the move.

Minutes like this appeared 89 times in the 43,199 minutes searched (0.2%). What followed was close to a coin flip: 41 rose and 48 fell over the next 30 minutes (89 of the 89 matches have a complete 30 minutes forward).

Of the 89 fires, 72 came before the move began; none were during it.

About 2.9 a day, on 20 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#3df53e1f @ dataset de1f6756

Cascade clustering ≥ 0.5 and feature.desc_resistance_active active_1d and feature.desc_resistance_support falling

feature.cascade_clustering_index + feature.desc_resistance_active + feature.desc_resistance_support

Read at 1 hour before the move.

Minutes like this appeared only 1 time in the 1,980 minutes searched. What followed leaned down: 1 of the 1 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward fell (100%).

Its one fire came before the move began.

About 0 a day over 31 days, but 2026-08-10 alone holds 100% of them: this is close to a single episode.

q#86ae0b26 @ dataset de1f6756

Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.

If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.

Every night the record counts what fired and what usually followed: the daily brief.