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Change market, time or detector

All times are UTC. Chart history only changes the display. Historical comparisons use the 30 days before the selected start and measure their own outcome horizon.

HANMIUSDT rose 9.7% into Sep 21, after the end of the record. The minutes before it are not recorded yet, so there is nothing to count them against.

They join the record around 2026-09-22 05:15 UTC, when the rebuild reaches that day.

Shown below instead: the biggest move the record can already account for.

Move read

HANMIUSDT fell into Sep 15

−5.7%

Move window

Move window: 2026-09-14 08:00 to 2026-09-15 17:00 UTC.

33 hours. The automatic start is the last covered hourly candle touching the bottom 5% of the episode range (top 5% for a fall), measured using the eventual extreme. It is a hindsight anchor, not a detected causal onset. Change the start above to inspect a later acceleration. The end marks the hour containing the price extreme, not an exact tick.

Stored analytical feature coverage for HANMIUSDT ends 2026-09-21 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Price candles can continue beyond it; feature availability and tick replay are separate.

The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.

56 historical matches for the proposed conditions. This is an exploratory investigation. The combined trendline, compression and microstructure hypothesis still needs validation.

> Full HANMIUSDT research page

Explore the move and its lead-up

Price history: lead-up and selected move
selected startreadings taken here-5.7%156.77165.48174.68Sep 13 23:00Sep 14 08:00Sep 15 21:00UTC · log price scale

Hourly candles. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start. These five samples test the lead-up only, not the full move. Use the minute inspector to explore during or after the move.

Explore historical state

Current-minute reads are free after sign-in. Pro and Research include historical-minute inspection and comparison with an hour earlier.

Past readings use stored inputs where available. Recent minutes may use the live buffer and are labelled unpinned. Missing minutes remain visible.

Read the available analytical inputs at one minute, including measurements over the preceding windows. Compare with an hour earlier, then take a reading into Research to test it. Dates are UTC.

These additional reads are separate from the five pre-start samples. Observations during or after the selected move describe what had already happened; they are not advance evidence.

Selected time: 2026-09-14 08:00 UTC. During the selected move: hindsight. Choose Read this minute to request it. Missing minutes remain unavailable.

Before the time above:

Follow positioning and flow through the move

Read 22 sampled minutes from the selected start through one hour after the selected end. The peak hour has extra 15-minute samples. The end marks the peak hour, not the exact peak tick. These are separate snapshots, not a continuous tape or an advance-warning test.

Historical access applies. Reads preserve each source revision; missing values stay unavailable. Contract OI, turnover and direct spot basis are not supplied by this table. Published premium is a different measure from direct basis.

No additional reads have run.

The OI score measures absolute USD-notional change, not signed contract growth. Zero 15-second liquidation intensity can coexist with substantial hourly liquidations. Binance liquidation amounts are observed publications, not complete venue totals.

Pre-start evidence: five separate snapshots

Geometry and microstructure, on the same clock

Read left to right: 24h → 4h → 1h → 15m → 1m before the selected start. These are five snapshots, not a continuous tape. Neutral readings stay visible; unavailable values are never zero.

Descending resistance
Reading-24h-4h-1h-15m-1m
Time since resistance breakhoursUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Resistance line spandaysUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Resistance touchescountUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Touches before resistance breakcountUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Line ATR contractionmultipleUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Resistance line statelabelUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Distance to broken resistancemultipleUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Distance to resistancemultipleUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Support shapelabelUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Candle compression
Reading-24h-4h-1h-15m-1m
last 15-minute candle range versus its baselinemultipleUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable0.56470.5647
last four-hour candle range versus its baselinemultiple0.44511.6521.6521.6521.652
last one-hour candle range versus its baselinemultiple · Highlight: ≤ 0.5 or ≥ 20.80610.57770.25540.25540.2554
Order book
Reading-24h-4h-1h-15m-1m
Order-book imbalanceratio-0.77270.98-0.96030.7110.4516
book capture regimelabel · Highlight: State other than none or normalnativenativenativenativenative
cost of buying 100k from the bookbpsUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
cost of selling 100k into the bookbpsUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
depth capture regimelabel · Highlight: State other than none or normallivelivelivelivelive
normalized spreadratio0.29760.57570.27270.083490.2031
order-book imbalance rankpercentile0.86230.94340.93150.71640.3801
quoted spread in basis pointsbps14.8828.7813.644.17510.16
sharpest pull of resting asks in the minuteratio0.052720.55970.4170.2750.3958
sharpest pull of resting bids in the minuteratio0.059670.55680.12220.062480.04922
What takers paid to cross over 15 minutesbps7.44241.993.2888.67916.25
Trade flow
Reading-24h-4h-1h-15m-1m
Dollar volume over 15 minutesusd83.8210690386.615763758
Flow toxicity against this market's own historypercentile0.20890.97740.98010.98220.9802
Illiquidity against this market's own historypercentileUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Informed-trading pressureratio0.38510.45630.47730.4850.485
Net taker flow over the trailing four hoursratio0.10880.0117-0.7612-0.7422-0.6932
Net taker flow over the trailing hourratio0.1458-0.807-0.281-0.4549-0.2983
Price impact per dollar tradedper_million_usdUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
large-trade share of recent flowratio00000
persistence of taker flow over the hourratioUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
taker-buy share of recent flowratio00.0023940.31450.81820.5847
VPIN regimelabel · Highlight: State other than none or normalnormalelevatedelevatedelevatedelevated
Turnover against its recent hoursratioUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Volume against this market's own historypercentile0.28380.63160.23060.27010.3527
Funding and positioning
Reading-24h-4h-1h-15m-1m
Funding against this market's own settled historypercentileUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Funding minus premium indexsigned_fraction-0.00000133-0.0021970.00013450.00013450.0001345
How much of the hour's volume became new positionssigned_fractionUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Minutes until funding settlesminutes · Highlight: ≤ 30024060151
Premium index change over 1hsigned_fraction00.002332000
Premium index rank over 30dpercentile0.49720.97150.49860.49860.4986
Published premium indexsigned_fraction00.002332000
funding raterate-0.000001330.00013450.00013450.00013450.0001345
global long ratioratio0.58810.58460.62530.63820.6408
hourly change in open contractssigned_fractionUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
normalized funding rateratio0.00044330.044840.044840.044840.04484
open-interest velocity rankpercentile0.28820.30820.2769Unavailable0.3017
top-trader long ratioratio0.80980.69680.78660.79250.801
top-versus-crowd long skewratio_difference0.22170.11220.16130.15430.1602
Liquidations
Reading-24h-4h-1h-15m-1m
Cascade clusteringratio0.33570.33570.33420.33420.3342
Liquidation intensityratio00000
Liquidations in the trailing hourusd00000
Longs liquidated in the trailing hourusd00000
Shorts liquidated in the trailing hourusd00000
distance down to the nearest bright 50x to 100x liquidation shelfpercentUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
distance down to the nearest bright 5x to 25x liquidation shelfpercentUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
distance up to the nearest bright 50x to 100x liquidation shelfpercentUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
distance up to the nearest bright 5x to 25x liquidation shelfpercentUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
liquidation burst against this market's own historypercentile0.48040.48730.48150.48170.4818
Which side the trailing hour of liquidations fell onratioUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable

Highlighted cells meet the printed fixed rule. This does not establish rarity, statistical significance or a cause of the move. Book readings describe the best quotes, not full-depth liquidity; liquidation readings describe what the venue reported.

Highlighted readings and exact search conditions

Highlighted readings meet fixed rules, not a statistical-significance test. The observed value and proposed search condition are different: a condition rounds a value or selects an interval for a repeatable search.

  1. -24h2026-09-13 08:00 UTC

    At 24 hours before the move, 8 of the 87 readings met a highlight rule.

    Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.77Book capture nativeCompression · 4h ≤ 0.45Depth capture livehow many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Minutes to funding ≤ 1Taker buy share · 15m
    Show the full readings
    READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
    Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance-0.7727≤ -0.77
    Book capture feature.book_sourcenativenative
    Compression · 4h feature.candle_compression_4h0.4451≤ 0.45
    Depth capture feature.depth_sourcelivelive
    how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches4≥ 3
    how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break33712 to 720
    Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding0≤ 1
    Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m0
  2. -4h2026-09-14 04:00 UTC

    At 4 hours before the move, 9 of the 87 readings met a highlight rule.

    Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.98Book imbalance percentile ≥ 0.94Book capture nativeDepth capture livehow many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Spread · normalized ≥ 0.57Taker buy share · 15m ≤ 0.0024VPIN regime elevated
    Show the full readings
    READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
    Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance0.98≥ 0.98
    Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank0.9434≥ 0.94
    Book capture feature.book_sourcenativenative
    Depth capture feature.depth_sourcelivelive
    how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches4≥ 3
    how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break35712 to 720
    Spread · normalized feature.spread_norm0.5757≥ 0.57
    Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m0.002394≤ 0.0024
    VPIN regime feature.vpin_regimeelevatedelevated
  3. -1h2026-09-14 07:00 UTC

    At 1 hour before the move, 9 of the 87 readings met a highlight rule.

    Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.96Book imbalance percentile ≥ 0.93Book capture nativeCompression · 1h ≤ 0.26Depth capture livehow many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Taker buy share · 15m ≤ 0.32VPIN regime elevated
    Show the full readings
    READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
    Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance-0.9603≤ -0.96
    Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank0.9315≥ 0.93
    Book capture feature.book_sourcenativenative
    Compression · 1h feature.candle_compression_1h0.2554≤ 0.26
    Depth capture feature.depth_sourcelivelive
    how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches4≥ 3
    how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break36012 to 720
    Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m0.3145≤ 0.32
    VPIN regime feature.vpin_regimeelevatedelevated
  4. -15m2026-09-14 07:45 UTC

    At 15 minutes before the move, 10 of the 87 readings met a highlight rule.

    Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.71Book capture nativeCompression · 1h ≤ 0.26Containment · 15m insideDepth capture livehow many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Minutes to funding ≤ 15Taker buy share · 15m ≥ 0.81VPIN regime elevated
    Show the full readings
    READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
    Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance0.711≥ 0.71
    Book capture feature.book_sourcenativenative
    Compression · 1h feature.candle_compression_1h0.2554≤ 0.26
    Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15minsideinside
    Depth capture feature.depth_sourcelivelive
    how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches4≥ 3
    how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break360.812 to 720
    Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding15≤ 15
    Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m0.8182≥ 0.81
    VPIN regime feature.vpin_regimeelevatedelevated
  5. -1m2026-09-14 07:59 UTC

    At 1 minute before the move, 8 of the 87 readings met a highlight rule.

    Book capture nativeCompression · 1h ≤ 0.26Containment · 15m insideDepth capture livehow many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Minutes to funding ≤ 1VPIN regime elevated
    Show the full readings
    READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
    Book capture feature.book_sourcenativenative
    Compression · 1h feature.candle_compression_1h0.2554≤ 0.26
    Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15minsideinside
    Depth capture feature.depth_sourcelivelive
    how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches4≥ 3
    how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break36112 to 720
    Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding1≤ 1
    VPIN regime feature.vpin_regimeelevatedelevated

Point the research surface at any past minute yourself PRO

Historical comparison

Exact setup countedBook imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.71 and Book capture native and Compression · 1h ≤ 0.26 · Read at 15 minutes before the move.These are the printed conditions only. The selected detector family does not change this automatically proposed combination. Edit it before testing the full recipe.

What the record says

The selected move lasts 33 hours. This comparison measures 72 hours after each historical match. Changing it uses the existing result.

Too few completed windows for a directional generalization.

OutcomeMatching setupSame-market referenceDifference
Finished at least 2% higher3 / 12 (25.0%)44 unavailable2,852 / 5,182 (55.0%)38019 unavailableNot reported
Finished at least 2% lower8 / 12 (66.7%)44 unavailable1,641 / 5,182 (31.7%)38019 unavailableNot reported
Reached +5% at any point12 / 28 (42.9%)28 unavailable6,780 / 12,086 (56.1%)31115 unavailableNot reported
Reached -5% at any point14 / 28 (50.0%)28 unavailable4,559 / 12,086 (37.7%)31115 unavailableNot reported

Reference: eligible minutes in the same market and scan period, without the proposed conditions. The 30-window reporting floor is not a significance test. Overlapping windows and shared market events can reduce independent evidence. Conditions were selected after seeing this move; confirmation needs unseen data.

Does this setup hold across its sector?

Open the proposed study with starting defaults. Review the evidence, refine the idea, then save it or monitor it if useful.

What Research includes

Choose a recorded Binance crypto perpetual market with confirmed instrument classification.

Starting defaults and coverage

Starting defaults: 2026-08-22 to 2026-09-21 UTC; finishes down 2% or more after 1 hour. Review or change the markets, dates, conditions and outcome before running. Current recorded classification and sector tags, not point-in-time membership. Historical membership may differ. Instrument history does not guarantee every setup input or outcome is present; actual study exclusions remain authoritative.

Choose the study population explicitly: All recorded crypto perpetuals

Watch the ignition replay Free replay covers the latest fully archived UTC day on 6 major markets. Pro reaches 90 days; Research reaches the whole recorded order book, which begins 15 May 2026. Earlier days are searchable but hold no book, so they cannot be replayed. Access is checked when you open a replay.

Evidence and counting
feature.book_imbalance + feature.book_source + feature.candle_compression_1h

Read at 15 minutes before the move.

Of the 56 fires, 47 came before the move began and 3 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.

About 1.8 a day, on 22 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#da74f24a @ dataset e0a4ec0b

This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.

Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.

Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.

If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.

Also counted

Book capture native and Compression · 1h ≤ 0.26 and Containment · 15m inside24 matches, 1 rose, 0 fell
feature.book_source + feature.candle_compression_1h + feature.candle_containment_15m

Read at 1 minute before the move.

1 rose and 0 fell over 1 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.

Of the 24 fires, 20 came before the move began and 1 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.

About 0.8 a day, on 16 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#392696ec @ dataset e0a4ec0b
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.96 and Book imbalance percentile ≥ 0.93 and Book capture native77 matches, 9 rose, 13 fell
feature.book_imbalance + feature.book_imbalance_pctrank + feature.book_source

Read at 1 hour before the move.

9 rose and 13 fell over 22 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.

Of the 77 fires, 58 came before the move began and 3 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.

About 2.5 a day, on 26 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#f147b368 @ dataset e0a4ec0b

Every night the record counts what fired and what usually followed: the daily brief.

No account? Replay a real move tick by tick, free: TUT short squeeze · 9 Aug 2026.

HANMIUSDT fell 5.7% into Sep 15. · Investigate a move