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All times are UTC. Chart history only changes the display. Historical comparisons use the 30 days before the selected start and measure their own outcome horizon.

Move read

MOVEUSDT rose into Sep 21

+25%

Move window

Move window: 2026-09-16 19:00 to 2026-09-21 11:00 UTC.

112 hours. The automatic start is the last covered hourly candle touching the bottom 5% of the episode range (top 5% for a fall), measured using the eventual extreme. It is a hindsight anchor, not a detected causal onset. Change the start above to inspect a later acceleration. The end marks the hour containing the price extreme, not an exact tick.

Stored analytical feature coverage for MOVEUSDT ends 2026-09-22 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Price candles can continue beyond it; feature availability and tick replay are separate.

The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.

67 historical matches for the proposed conditions. This is an exploratory investigation. The combined trendline, compression and microstructure hypothesis still needs validation.

> Full MOVEUSDT research page

Explore the move and its lead-up

Price history: lead-up and selected move

Hourly candles. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start. These five samples test the lead-up only, not the full move. Use the minute inspector to explore during or after the move.

Explore historical state

Current-minute reads are free after sign-in. Pro and Research include historical-minute inspection and comparison with an hour earlier.

Past readings use stored inputs where available. Recent minutes may use the live buffer and are labelled unpinned. Missing minutes remain visible.

Read the available analytical inputs at one minute, including measurements over the preceding windows. Compare with an hour earlier, then take a reading into Research to test it. Dates are UTC.

These additional reads are separate from the five pre-start samples. Observations during or after the selected move describe what had already happened; they are not advance evidence.

Selected time: 2026-09-16 19:00 UTC. During the selected move: hindsight. Choose Read this minute to request it. Missing minutes remain unavailable.

Before the time above:

Follow positioning and flow through the move

Read 24 sampled minutes from the selected start through one hour after the selected end. The peak hour has extra 15-minute samples. The end marks the peak hour, not the exact peak tick. These are separate snapshots, not a continuous tape or an advance-warning test.

Historical access applies. Reads preserve each source revision; missing values stay unavailable. Contract OI, turnover and direct spot basis are not supplied by this table. Published premium is a different measure from direct basis.

No additional reads have run.

The OI score measures absolute USD-notional change, not signed contract growth. Zero 15-second liquidation intensity can coexist with substantial hourly liquidations. Binance liquidation amounts are observed publications, not complete venue totals.

Pre-start evidence: five separate snapshots

Geometry and microstructure, on the same clock

Read left to right: 24h → 4h → 1h → 15m → 1m before the selected start. These are five snapshots, not a continuous tape. Neutral readings stay visible; unavailable values are never zero.

Descending resistance

Reading	-24h	-4h	-1h	-15m	-1m
Time since resistance breakhours	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable
Resistance line spandays	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable
Resistance touchescount	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable
Touches before resistance breakcount	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable
Line ATR contractionmultiple	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable
Resistance line statelabel	none	none	none	none	none
Distance to broken resistancemultiple	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable
Distance to resistancemultiple	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable
Support shapelabel	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable

Candle compression

Reading	-24h	-4h	-1h	-15m	-1m
last 15-minute candle range versus its baselinemultiple · Highlight: ≤ 0.5 or ≥ 2	2.817	0.7816	2.323	2.424	2.424
last four-hour candle range versus its baselinemultiple	1.614	0.4355	0.9843	0.9843	0.9843
last one-hour candle range versus its baselinemultiple	3.633	1.107	1.406	1.406	1.406

Order book

Reading	-24h	-4h	-1h	-15m	-1m
Order-book imbalanceratio	-0.6682	0.3107	-0.7337	-0.7203	0.04403
book capture regimelabel · Highlight: State other than none or normal	native	native	native	native	native
cost of buying 100k from the bookbps	387.4	341.7	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable
cost of selling 100k into the bookbps	271.2	295	407.6	381.1	341.8
depth capture regimelabel · Highlight: State other than none or normal	live	live	live	live	live
normalized spreadratio	0.1033	0.1865	0.3184	0.1572	0.07873
order-book imbalance rankpercentile	0.6306	0.7312	0.5876	0.4654	0.5232
quoted spread in basis pointsbps	5.165	9.324	15.92	7.859	3.937
sharpest pull of resting asks in the minuteratio	0.05503	0.07395	0.1098	0.08516	0.7073
sharpest pull of resting bids in the minuteratio	0.05221	0.03182	0.1358	0.1061	0.09279
What takers paid to cross over 15 minutesbps	13.99	7.425	9.51	10.26	9.295

Trade flow

Reading	-24h	-4h	-1h	-15m	-1m
Dollar volume over 15 minutesusd	163200	51700	49820	88910	30330
Flow toxicity against this market's own historypercentile	0.8901	0.6241	0.1292	0.1779	0.2539
Illiquidity against this market's own historypercentile	0.1768	0.2903	0.4257	0.2963	0.3012
Informed-trading pressureratio	0.367	0.314	0.2767	0.2798	0.2847
Net taker flow over the trailing four hoursratio	-0.02845	0.0954	0.02454	0.01234	-0.009178
Net taker flow over the trailing hourratio	-0.06659	0.185	0.1078	0.01831	0.01304
Price impact per dollar tradedper_million_usd	0.3057	0.4104	0.4731	0.404	0.4053
large-trade share of recent flowratio	0	0	0	0	0
persistence of taker flow over the hourratio	-0.1733	0.009003	0.109	-0.1345	-0.1661
taker-buy share of recent flowratio	0.5192	0.6693	0.5488	0.45	0.5046
VPIN regimelabel	normal	normal	normal	normal	normal
Turnover against its recent hoursratio	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable	Unavailable
Volume against this market's own historypercentile	0.9989	0.9235	0.9163	0.9898	0.4925

Funding and positioning

Reading	-24h	-4h	-1h	-15m	-1m
Funding against this market's own settled historypercentile	0.3863	0.3652	0.6215	0.6215	0.6215
Funding minus premium indexsigned_fraction	0.003852	0.00839	-0.005401	-0.001016	-0.001459
How much of the hour's volume became new positionssigned_fraction	-0.07549	Unavailable	0.02075	Unavailable	Unavailable
Minutes until funding settlesminutes	300	60	360	315	301
Premium index change over 1hsigned_fraction	-0.003901	-0.005239	0.006252	0.0004615	-0.004711
Premium index rank over 30dpercentile	0.2437	0.04375	0.9354	0.6319	0.6556
Published premium indexsigned_fraction	-0.003901	-0.008394	0.004847	0.0004615	0.0009049
funding raterate	-0.00004918	-0.00000421	-0.0005541	-0.0005541	-0.0005541
global long ratioratio	0.5889	0.5296	0.5276	0.531	0.5311
hourly change in open contractssigned_fraction	-0.02114	Unavailable	0.001576	-0.006939	-0.00606
normalized funding rateratio	0.01639	0.001403	0.1847	0.1847	0.1847
open-interest velocity rankpercentile	0.7081	0.6225	0.8843	0.7643	0.4124
top-trader long ratioratio	0.6048	0.6139	0.615	0.6178	0.6196
top-versus-crowd long skewratio_difference	0.0159	0.0843	0.0874	0.0868	0.0885

Liquidations

Reading	-24h	-4h	-1h	-15m	-1m
Cascade clusteringratio · Highlight: ≥ 0.5	0.5114	0.5126	0.5131	0.5133	0.5133
Liquidation intensityratio	0	0	0	0	0
Liquidations in the trailing hourusd	9220	247.3	24.49	999.4	974.9
Longs liquidated in the trailing hourusd	9220	247.3	24.49	24.49	0
Shorts liquidated in the trailing hourusd	0	0	0	974.9	974.9
distance down to the nearest bright 50x to 100x liquidation shelfpercent	2.1	0.48	1.14	2.34	1.98
distance down to the nearest bright 5x to 25x liquidation shelfpercent	2.64	1.86	2.76	3.06	2.7
distance up to the nearest bright 50x to 100x liquidation shelfpercent	0.3	2.64	1.5	2.1	2.46
distance up to the nearest bright 5x to 25x liquidation shelfpercent	2.22	4.56	3.48	2.28	2.64
liquidation burst against this market's own historypercentile	0.4656	0.4836	0.4856	0.479	0.4793
Which side the trailing hour of liquidations fell onratio	-1	-1	-1	0.951	1

Highlighted cells meet the printed fixed rule. This does not establish rarity, statistical significance or a cause of the move. Book readings describe the best quotes, not full-depth liquidity; liquidation readings describe what the venue reported.

Highlighted readings and exact search conditions

Highlighted readings meet fixed rules, not a statistical-significance test. The observed value and proposed search condition are different: a condition rounds a value or selects an interval for a repeatable search.

-24h2026-09-15 19:00 UTC

At 24 hours before the move, 15 of the 87 readings met a highlight rule.

Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.66Book capture nativeCompression · 15m ≥ 2.8Compression · 1h ≥ 3.6Lower wick · 15m ≥ 0.79Sweep + reclaim · 15m bullishCascade clustering ≥ 0.51Depth capture livethe short descending resistance line active_4hhow many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720the support under the short descending resistance fallinghow many times price has touched the short descending resistance ≥ 3Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.99VWAP distance · day ≤ -0.036

Show the full readings

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance	-0.6682	≤ -0.66
Book capture feature.book_source	native	native
Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m	2.817	≥ 2.8
Compression · 1h feature.candle_compression_1h	3.633	≥ 3.6
Lower wick · 15m feature.candle_lower_wick_15m	0.79	≥ 0.79
Sweep + reclaim · 15m feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_15m	bullish	bullish
Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index	0.5114	≥ 0.51
Depth capture feature.depth_source	live	live
the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active	active_4h	active_4h
how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches	3	≥ 3
how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break	177	12 to 720
the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support	falling	falling
how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches	3	≥ 3
Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank	1	≥ 0.99
VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist	-0.03606	≤ -0.036

-4h2026-09-16 15:00 UTC

At 4 hours before the move, 8 of the 87 readings met a highlight rule.

Book capture nativeCompression · 4h ≤ 0.44Sweep + reclaim · 15m bullishCascade clustering ≥ 0.51Depth capture livehow many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Taker buy share · 15m ≥ 0.66

Show the full readings

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Book capture feature.book_source	native	native
Compression · 4h feature.candle_compression_4h	0.4355	≤ 0.44
Sweep + reclaim · 15m feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_15m	bullish	bullish
Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index	0.5126	≥ 0.51
Depth capture feature.depth_source	live	live
how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches	3	≥ 3
how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break	197	12 to 720
Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m	0.6693	≥ 0.66

-1h2026-09-16 18:00 UTC

At 1 hour before the move, 9 of the 87 readings met a highlight rule.

Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.73Book capture nativeCompression · 15m ≥ 2.3Containment · 15m outsideEngulfing · 15m bullishCascade clustering ≥ 0.51Depth capture livehow many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720

Show the full readings

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance	-0.7337	≤ -0.73
Book capture feature.book_source	native	native
Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m	2.323	≥ 2.3
Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m	outside	outside
Engulfing · 15m feature.candle_engulfing_15m	bullish	bullish
Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index	0.5131	≥ 0.51
Depth capture feature.depth_source	live	live
how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches	3	≥ 3
how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break	200	12 to 720

-15m2026-09-16 18:45 UTC

At 15 minutes before the move, 9 of the 87 readings met a highlight rule.

Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.72Book capture nativeCompression · 15m ≥ 2.4Lower wick · 15m ≥ 0.76Cascade clustering ≥ 0.51Depth capture livehow many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.99

Show the full readings

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance	-0.7203	≤ -0.72
Book capture feature.book_source	native	native
Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m	2.424	≥ 2.4
Lower wick · 15m feature.candle_lower_wick_15m	0.7622	≥ 0.76
Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index	0.5133	≥ 0.51
Depth capture feature.depth_source	live	live
how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches	3	≥ 3
how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break	200.8	12 to 720
Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank	1	≥ 0.99

-1m2026-09-16 18:59 UTC

At 1 minute before the move, 8 of the 87 readings met a highlight rule.

Book capture nativeCompression · 15m ≥ 2.4Lower wick · 15m ≥ 0.76Cascade clustering ≥ 0.51Depth capture livehow many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.99

Show the full readings

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Book capture feature.book_source	native	native
Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m	2.424	≥ 2.4
Lower wick · 15m feature.candle_lower_wick_15m	0.7622	≥ 0.76
Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index	0.5133	≥ 0.51
Depth capture feature.depth_source	live	live
how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches	3	≥ 3
how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break	201	12 to 720
Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank	0.9989	≥ 0.99

Point the research surface at any past minute yourself PRO

Historical comparison

Exact setup countedBook imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.73 and Book capture native and Compression · 15m ≥ 2.3 · Read at 1 hour before the move.These are the printed conditions only. The selected detector family does not change this automatically proposed combination. Edit it before testing the full recipe.

What the record says

Measure after

The selected move lasts 112 hours. This comparison measures 168 hours after each historical match. Changing it uses the existing result.

Descriptive comparison; an edge has not been established.

Outcome	Matching setup	Same-market reference	Difference
Finished at least 2% higher	29 / 57 (50.9%)10 unavailable	16,722 / 32,953 (50.7%)10248 unavailable	+0.1 pp
Finished at least 2% lower	23 / 57 (40.4%)10 unavailable	11,507 / 32,953 (34.9%)10248 unavailable	+5.4 pp
Reached +5% at any point	40 / 57 (70.2%)10 unavailable	23,490 / 33,047 (71.1%)10154 unavailable	-0.9 pp
Reached -5% at any point	46 / 57 (80.7%)10 unavailable	24,690 / 33,047 (74.7%)10154 unavailable	+6.0 pp

Reference: eligible minutes in the same market and scan period, without the proposed conditions. The 30-window reporting floor is not a significance test. Overlapping windows and shared market events can reduce independent evidence. Conditions were selected after seeing this move; confirmation needs unseen data.

Does this setup hold across its sector?

Open the proposed study with starting defaults. Review the evidence, refine the idea, then save it or monitor it if useful.

What Research includes

Multiple recorded sectors: sector_crypto, sector_layer_1. Choose one explicitly.

Starting defaults and coverage

Starting defaults: 2026-08-23 to 2026-09-22 UTC; finishes up 2% or more after 1 hour. Review or change the markets, dates, conditions and outcome before running. Current recorded classification and sector tags, not point-in-time membership. Historical membership may differ. Instrument history does not guarantee every setup input or outcome is present; actual study exclusions remain authoritative.

Choose a different recorded sector

520 sector crypto markets

49 layer 1 sector markets

Choose the study population explicitly: This market only · All recorded crypto perpetuals

Watch the ignition replay Free replay covers the latest fully archived UTC day on 6 major markets. Pro reaches 90 days; Research reaches the whole recorded order book, which begins 15 May 2026. Earlier days are searchable but hold no book, so they cannot be replayed. Access is checked when you open a replay.

Evidence and counting

feature.book_imbalance + feature.book_source + feature.candle_compression_15m

Read at 1 hour before the move.

Of the 67 fires, 60 came before the move began and 7 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.

About 2.2 a day, on 28 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#b29fa9cf @ dataset 85fdc316

This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.

Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.

Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.

If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.

Also counted

Book capture native and Compression · 15m ≥ 2.4 and Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.9918 matches, 7 rose, 11 fell

feature.book_source + feature.candle_compression_15m + feature.realized_vol_pctrank

Read at 1 minute before the move.

7 rose and 11 fell over 18 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.

Of the 18 fires, 17 came before the move began and 1 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.

About 0.6 a day, on 15 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#fe16166a @ dataset 85fdc316

Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.72 and Book capture native and Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.9928 matches, 14 rose, 14 fell

feature.book_imbalance + feature.book_source + feature.realized_vol_pctrank

Read at 15 minutes before the move.

14 rose and 14 fell over 28 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.

Of the 28 fires, 25 came before the move began and 3 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.

About 0.9 a day, on 18 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#fc7287cd @ dataset 85fdc316

Every night the record counts what fired and what usually followed: the daily brief.

No account? Replay a real move tick by tick, free: TUT short squeeze · 9 Aug 2026.