Change market, time or detector

All times are UTC. Chart history only changes the display. Historical comparisons use the 30 days before the selected start and measure their own outcome horizon.

Move read

NAVERUSDT fell into Sep 18

−8.7%

Move window

Move window: 2026-09-15 12:00 to 2026-09-18 23:00 UTC.

83 hours. The automatic start is the last covered hourly candle touching the bottom 5% of the episode range (top 5% for a fall), measured using the eventual extreme. It is a hindsight anchor, not a detected causal onset. Change the start above to inspect a later acceleration. The end marks the hour containing the price extreme, not an exact tick.

Stored analytical feature coverage for NAVERUSDT ends 2026-09-22 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Price candles can continue beyond it; feature availability and tick replay are separate.

The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.

48 historical matches for the proposed conditions. This is an exploratory investigation. The combined trendline, compression and microstructure hypothesis still needs validation.

> Full NAVERUSDT research page

Explore the move and its lead-up

Price history: lead-up and selected move

Hourly candles. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start. These five samples test the lead-up only, not the full move. Use the minute inspector to explore during or after the move.

Explore historical state

Current-minute reads are free after sign-in. Pro and Research include historical-minute inspection and comparison with an hour earlier.

Past readings use stored inputs where available. Recent minutes may use the live buffer and are labelled unpinned. Missing minutes remain visible.

Read the available analytical inputs at one minute, including measurements over the preceding windows. Compare with an hour earlier, then take a reading into Research to test it. Dates are UTC.

These additional reads are separate from the five pre-start samples. Observations during or after the selected move describe what had already happened; they are not advance evidence.

Selected time: 2026-09-15 12:00 UTC. During the selected move: hindsight. Choose Read this minute to request it. Missing minutes remain unavailable.

Before the time above:

Follow positioning and flow through the move

Read 22 sampled minutes from the selected start through one hour after the selected end. The peak hour has extra 15-minute samples. The end marks the peak hour, not the exact peak tick. These are separate snapshots, not a continuous tape or an advance-warning test.

Historical access applies. Reads preserve each source revision; missing values stay unavailable. Contract OI, turnover and direct spot basis are not supplied by this table. Published premium is a different measure from direct basis.

No additional reads have run.

The OI score measures absolute USD-notional change, not signed contract growth. Zero 15-second liquidation intensity can coexist with substantial hourly liquidations. Binance liquidation amounts are observed publications, not complete venue totals.

Pre-start evidence: five separate snapshots

Geometry and microstructure, on the same clock

Read left to right: 24h → 4h → 1h → 15m → 1m before the selected start. These are five snapshots, not a continuous tape. Neutral readings stay visible; unavailable values are never zero.

Descending resistance

Reading	-24h	-4h	-1h	-15m	-1m
Time since resistance breakhours	Unavailable	Read failed	Read failed	Unavailable	Unavailable
Resistance line spandays	Unavailable	Read failed	Read failed	Unavailable	Unavailable
Resistance touchescount	Unavailable	Read failed	Read failed	Unavailable	Unavailable
Touches before resistance breakcount	Unavailable	Read failed	Read failed	Unavailable	Unavailable
Line ATR contractionmultiple	Unavailable	Read failed	Read failed	Unavailable	Unavailable
Resistance line statelabel	Unavailable	Read failed	Read failed	Unavailable	Unavailable
Distance to broken resistancemultiple	Unavailable	Read failed	Read failed	Unavailable	Unavailable
Distance to resistancemultiple	Unavailable	Read failed	Read failed	Unavailable	Unavailable
Support shapelabel	Unavailable	Read failed	Read failed	Unavailable	Unavailable

Candle compression

Reading	-24h	-4h	-1h	-15m	-1m
last 15-minute candle range versus its baselinemultiple	Unavailable	Read failed	Read failed	Unavailable	Unavailable
last four-hour candle range versus its baselinemultiple · Highlight: ≤ 0.5 or ≥ 2	0.3735	Read failed	Read failed	2.302	2.302
last one-hour candle range versus its baselinemultiple	0.5065	Read failed	Read failed	1.2	1.2

Order book

Reading	-24h	-4h	-1h	-15m	-1m
Order-book imbalanceratio · Highlight: ≤ -0.5 or ≥ 0.5	0.5078	Read failed	Read failed	-0.2	-0.8795
book capture regimelabel · Highlight: State other than none or normal	native	Read failed	Read failed	native	native
cost of buying 100k from the bookbps	Unavailable	Read failed	Read failed	Unavailable	Unavailable
cost of selling 100k into the bookbps	Unavailable	Read failed	Read failed	Unavailable	Unavailable
depth capture regimelabel · Highlight: State other than none or normal	live	Read failed	Read failed	live	live
normalized spreadratio	0.2633	Read failed	Read failed	0.1307	0.157
order-book imbalance rankpercentile	0.3274	Read failed	Read failed	0.3298	0.8574
quoted spread in basis pointsbps	13.17	Read failed	Read failed	6.534	7.848
sharpest pull of resting asks in the minuteratio	0.177	Read failed	Read failed	0.5196	0.02622
sharpest pull of resting bids in the minuteratio	0.02437	Read failed	Read failed	0.1976	0.01839
What takers paid to cross over 15 minutesbps	1.737	Read failed	Read failed	25.82	23.27

Trade flow

Reading	-24h	-4h	-1h	-15m	-1m
Dollar volume over 15 minutesusd	318.4	Read failed	Read failed	11940	6026
Flow toxicity against this market's own historypercentile	0.1962	Read failed	Read failed	0.5262	0.5259
Illiquidity against this market's own historypercentile	Unavailable	Read failed	Read failed	0.3651	0.356
Informed-trading pressureratio	0.3742	Read failed	Read failed	0.4333	0.4333
Net taker flow over the trailing four hoursratio	-0.5819	Read failed	Read failed	0.2037	0.1918
Net taker flow over the trailing hourratio	-0.7026	Read failed	Read failed	0.2539	0.1441
Price impact per dollar tradedper_million_usd	Unavailable	Read failed	Read failed	1.009	0.9745
large-trade share of recent flowratio	0	Read failed	Read failed	0	0
persistence of taker flow over the hourratio	Unavailable	Read failed	Read failed	-0.07979	-0.1279
taker-buy share of recent flowratio · Highlight: ≤ 0.35 or ≥ 0.65	1	Read failed	Read failed	0.4765	0.2461
VPIN regimelabel	normal	Read failed	Read failed	normal	normal
Turnover against its recent hoursratio	Unavailable	Read failed	Read failed	Unavailable	Unavailable
Volume against this market's own historypercentile	0.335	Read failed	Read failed	0.4584	0.3477

Funding and positioning

Reading	-24h	-4h	-1h	-15m	-1m
Funding against this market's own settled historypercentile	Unavailable	Read failed	Read failed	Unavailable	Unavailable
Funding minus premium indexsigned_fraction	-0.0002433	Read failed	Read failed	-0.004077	-0.0009674
How much of the hour's volume became new positionssigned_fraction	Unavailable	Read failed	Read failed	Unavailable	Unavailable
Minutes until funding settlesminutes	240	Read failed	Read failed	255	241
Premium index change over 1hsigned_fraction	0	Read failed	Read failed	0.004065	0.002482
Premium index rank over 30dpercentile	0.5007	Read failed	Read failed	0.9917	0.9556
Published premium indexsigned_fraction	0	Read failed	Read failed	0.004065	0.0009557
funding raterate	-0.0002433	Read failed	Read failed	-0.00001165	-0.00001165
global long ratioratio	0.6108	Read failed	Read failed	0.5367	0.5472
hourly change in open contractssigned_fraction	Unavailable	Read failed	Read failed	0.09663	Unavailable
normalized funding rateratio	0.08109	Read failed	Read failed	0.003883	0.003883
open-interest velocity rankpercentile	0.2928	Read failed	Read failed	0.2764	0.2605
top-trader long ratioratio	0.8383	Read failed	Read failed	0.8102	0.8127
top-versus-crowd long skewratio_difference	0.2275	Read failed	Read failed	0.2735	0.2655

Liquidations

Reading	-24h	-4h	-1h	-15m	-1m
Cascade clusteringratio · Highlight: ≥ 0.5	0.5136	Read failed	Read failed	0.5136	0.5136
Liquidation intensityratio	0	Read failed	Read failed	0	0
Liquidations in the trailing hourusd	0	Read failed	Read failed	0	0
Longs liquidated in the trailing hourusd	0	Read failed	Read failed	0	0
Shorts liquidated in the trailing hourusd	0	Read failed	Read failed	0	0
distance down to the nearest bright 50x to 100x liquidation shelfpercent	Unavailable	Read failed	Read failed	Unavailable	Unavailable
distance down to the nearest bright 5x to 25x liquidation shelfpercent	Unavailable	Read failed	Read failed	Unavailable	Unavailable
distance up to the nearest bright 50x to 100x liquidation shelfpercent	Unavailable	Read failed	Read failed	Unavailable	Unavailable
distance up to the nearest bright 5x to 25x liquidation shelfpercent	Unavailable	Read failed	Read failed	Unavailable	Unavailable
liquidation burst against this market's own historypercentile	0.4948	Read failed	Read failed	0.4971	0.4971
Which side the trailing hour of liquidations fell onratio	Unavailable	Read failed	Read failed	Unavailable	Unavailable

Highlighted cells meet the printed fixed rule. This does not establish rarity, statistical significance or a cause of the move. Book readings describe the best quotes, not full-depth liquidity; liquidation readings describe what the venue reported.

Highlighted readings and exact search conditions

Highlighted readings meet fixed rules, not a statistical-significance test. The observed value and proposed search condition are different: a condition rounds a value or selects an interval for a repeatable search.

Could not read 1 hour and 4 hours before the move. The engine did not answer for those minutes, so nothing is claimed about them. Reload to try again.

-24h2026-09-14 12:00 UTC

At 24 hours before the move, 8 of the 87 readings met a highlight rule.

Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.5Book capture nativeCompression · 4h ≤ 0.38Cascade clustering ≥ 0.51Depth capture livehow many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Taker buy share · 15m ≥ 1

Show the full readings

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance	0.5078	≥ 0.5
Book capture feature.book_source	native	native
Compression · 4h feature.candle_compression_4h	0.3735	≤ 0.38
Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index	0.5136	≥ 0.51
Depth capture feature.depth_source	live	live
how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches	3	≥ 3
how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break	209	12 to 720
Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m	1	≥ 1

-15m2026-09-15 11:45 UTC

At 15 minutes before the move, 7 of the 87 readings met a highlight rule.

Book capture nativeCompression · 4h ≥ 2.3Cascade clustering ≥ 0.51Depth capture livehow many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Return · 15m ≥ 0.011

Show the full readings

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Book capture feature.book_source	native	native
Compression · 4h feature.candle_compression_4h	2.302	≥ 2.3
Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index	0.5136	≥ 0.51
Depth capture feature.depth_source	live	live
how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches	3	≥ 3
how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break	232.8	12 to 720
Return · 15m feature.ret_15m	0.0113	≥ 0.011

-1m2026-09-15 11:59 UTC

At 1 minute before the move, 8 of the 87 readings met a highlight rule.

Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.87Book capture nativeCompression · 4h ≥ 2.3Cascade clustering ≥ 0.51Depth capture livehow many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Taker buy share · 15m ≤ 0.25

Show the full readings

READING	BEFORE THE MOVE	SEARCHES FOR
Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance	-0.8795	≤ -0.87
Book capture feature.book_source	native	native
Compression · 4h feature.candle_compression_4h	2.302	≥ 2.3
Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index	0.5136	≥ 0.51
Depth capture feature.depth_source	live	live
how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches	3	≥ 3
how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break	233	12 to 720
Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m	0.2461	≤ 0.25

Point the research surface at any past minute yourself PRO

Historical comparison

Exact setup countedBook imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.87 and Book capture native and Compression · 4h ≥ 2.3 · Read at 1 minute before the move.These are the printed conditions only. The selected detector family does not change this automatically proposed combination. Edit it before testing the full recipe.

What the record says

Measure after

The selected move lasts 83 hours. This comparison measures 168 hours after each historical match. Changing it uses the existing result.

Too few completed windows for a directional generalization.

Outcome	Matching setup	Same-market reference	Difference
Finished at least 2% higher	2 / 9 (22.2%)39 unavailable	231 / 2,142 (10.8%)41059 unavailable	Not reported
Finished at least 2% lower	7 / 9 (77.8%)39 unavailable	1,684 / 2,142 (78.6%)41059 unavailable	Not reported
Reached +5% at any point	1 / 26 (3.8%)22 unavailable	1,053 / 6,321 (16.7%)36880 unavailable	Not reported
Reached -5% at any point	21 / 26 (80.8%)22 unavailable	4,047 / 6,321 (64.0%)36880 unavailable	Not reported

Reference: eligible minutes in the same market and scan period, without the proposed conditions. The 30-window reporting floor is not a significance test. Overlapping windows and shared market events can reduce independent evidence. Conditions were selected after seeing this move; confirmation needs unseen data.

Does this setup hold across its sector?

Open the proposed study with starting defaults. Review the evidence, refine the idea, then save it or monitor it if useful.

What Research includes

Choose a recorded Binance crypto perpetual market with confirmed instrument classification.

Starting defaults and coverage

Starting defaults: 2026-08-23 to 2026-09-22 UTC; finishes down 2% or more after 1 hour. Review or change the markets, dates, conditions and outcome before running. Current recorded classification and sector tags, not point-in-time membership. Historical membership may differ. Instrument history does not guarantee every setup input or outcome is present; actual study exclusions remain authoritative.

Choose the study population explicitly: All recorded crypto perpetuals

Watch the ignition replay Free replay covers the latest fully archived UTC day on 6 major markets. Pro reaches 90 days; Research reaches the whole recorded order book, which begins 15 May 2026. Earlier days are searchable but hold no book, so they cannot be replayed. Access is checked when you open a replay.

Evidence and counting

feature.book_imbalance + feature.book_source + feature.candle_compression_4h

Read at 1 minute before the move.

Of the 48 fires, 48 came before the move began; none were during it.

About 1.5 a day, on 11 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#ef28c907 @ dataset 85fdc316

This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.

Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.

Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.

If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.

Also counted

Book capture native and Compression · 4h ≥ 2.3 and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.5114 matches, 2 rose, 1 fell

feature.book_source + feature.candle_compression_4h + feature.cascade_clustering_index

Read at 15 minutes before the move.

2 rose and 1 fell over 3 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.

Of the 14 fires, 14 came before the move began; none were during it.

About 0.5 a day, on 11 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#15ac5535 @ dataset 85fdc316

Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.5 and Book capture native and Compression · 4h ≤ 0.38104 matches, 8 rose, 5 fell

feature.book_imbalance + feature.book_source + feature.candle_compression_4h

Read at 24 hours before the move.

8 rose and 5 fell over 13 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.

Of the 104 fires, 96 came before the move began; none were during it.

About 3.4 a day, on 18 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#b42f2e10 @ dataset 85fdc316

Every night the record counts what fired and what usually followed: the daily brief.

No account? Replay a real move tick by tick, free: TUT short squeeze · 9 Aug 2026.