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All times are UTC. Chart history only changes the display. Historical comparisons use the 30 days before the selected start and measure their own outcome horizon.

Move read

NXPCUSDT rose into Sep 22

+32%

Move window

Move window: 2026-09-16 19:00 to 2026-09-22 00:00 UTC.

125 hours. The automatic start is the last covered hourly candle touching the bottom 5% of the episode range (top 5% for a fall), measured using the eventual extreme. It is a hindsight anchor, not a detected causal onset. Change the start above to inspect a later acceleration. The end marks the hour containing the price extreme, not an exact tick.

Stored analytical feature coverage for NXPCUSDT ends 2026-09-22 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Price candles can continue beyond it; feature availability and tick replay are separate.

The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.

42 historical matches for the proposed conditions. This is an exploratory investigation. The combined trendline, compression and microstructure hypothesis still needs validation.

> Full NXPCUSDT research page

Explore the move and its lead-up

Price history: lead-up and selected move
feature coverage endsselected startreadings taken here+32%0.199460.235070.27703Sep 15 17:00Sep 16 19:00Sep 22 04:00UTC · log price scale

Hourly candles. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start. These five samples test the lead-up only, not the full move. Use the minute inspector to explore during or after the move.

Explore historical state

Current-minute reads are free after sign-in. Pro and Research include historical-minute inspection and comparison with an hour earlier.

Past readings use stored inputs where available. Recent minutes may use the live buffer and are labelled unpinned. Missing minutes remain visible.

Read the available analytical inputs at one minute, including measurements over the preceding windows. Compare with an hour earlier, then take a reading into Research to test it. Dates are UTC.

These additional reads are separate from the five pre-start samples. Observations during or after the selected move describe what had already happened; they are not advance evidence.

Selected time: 2026-09-16 19:00 UTC. During the selected move: hindsight. Choose Read this minute to request it. Missing minutes remain unavailable.

Before the time above:

Follow positioning and flow through the move

Read 23 sampled minutes from the selected start through one hour after the selected end. The peak hour has extra 15-minute samples. The end marks the peak hour, not the exact peak tick. These are separate snapshots, not a continuous tape or an advance-warning test.

Historical access applies. Reads preserve each source revision; missing values stay unavailable. Contract OI, turnover and direct spot basis are not supplied by this table. Published premium is a different measure from direct basis.

No additional reads have run.

The OI score measures absolute USD-notional change, not signed contract growth. Zero 15-second liquidation intensity can coexist with substantial hourly liquidations. Binance liquidation amounts are observed publications, not complete venue totals.

Pre-start evidence: five separate snapshots

Geometry and microstructure, on the same clock

Read left to right: 24h → 4h → 1h → 15m → 1m before the selected start. These are five snapshots, not a continuous tape. Neutral readings stay visible; unavailable values are never zero.

Descending resistance
Reading-24h-4h-1h-15m-1m
Time since resistance breakhoursUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Resistance line spandays3737373737
Resistance touchescount · Highlight: ≥ 344444
Touches before resistance breakcountUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Line ATR contractionmultiple0.83740.88440.88440.88440.8844
Resistance line statelabel · Highlight: State other than none or normalactive_1dactive_1dactive_1dactive_1dactive_1d
Distance to broken resistancemultipleUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Distance to resistancemultiple0.99051.4761.4581.1691.296
Support shapelabel · Highlight: State other than none or normalrisingrisingrisingrisingrising
Candle compression
Reading-24h-4h-1h-15m-1m
last 15-minute candle range versus its baselinemultiple · Highlight: ≤ 0.5 or ≥ 23.10.71193.7022.7272.727
last four-hour candle range versus its baselinemultiple2.3510.82011.1871.1871.187
last one-hour candle range versus its baselinemultiple2.6741.0291.5931.5931.593
Order book
Reading-24h-4h-1h-15m-1m
Order-book imbalanceratio · Highlight: ≤ -0.5 or ≥ 0.50.83910.98070.025320.08696-0.7264
book capture regimelabel · Highlight: State other than none or normalnativenativenativenativenative
cost of buying 100k from the bookbpsUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
cost of selling 100k into the bookbpsUnavailable185.7232287300.5
depth capture regimelabel · Highlight: State other than none or normallivelivelivelivelive
normalized spreadratio0.095220.19550.2930.096460.3878
order-book imbalance rankpercentile0.13220.93560.2040.20670.762
quoted spread in basis pointsbps4.7619.77514.654.82319.39
sharpest pull of resting asks in the minuteratio0.2790.36430.31460.60410.07091
sharpest pull of resting bids in the minuteratio0.55180.2310.34410.30480.01402
What takers paid to cross over 15 minutesbps13.067.6910.479.82911.1
Trade flow
Reading-24h-4h-1h-15m-1m
Dollar volume over 15 minutesusd687904031373001651012180
Flow toxicity against this market's own historypercentile0.59830.94920.65020.38090.3913
Illiquidity against this market's own historypercentile0.2330.77190.091880.26770.3481
Informed-trading pressureratio0.35010.38960.35870.33650.3372
Net taker flow over the trailing four hoursratio0.07694-0.3008-0.016090.0063560.009819
Net taker flow over the trailing hourratio0.19850.05067-0.1220.17340.05604
Price impact per dollar tradedper_million_usd0.79711.8830.69741.0331.162
large-trade share of recent flowratio00000
persistence of taker flow over the hourratio0.4201-0.23640.1210.3827-0.09189
taker-buy share of recent flowratio0.65090.54170.67780.4040.52
VPIN regimelabelnormalnormalnormalnormalnormal
Turnover against its recent hoursratioUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Volume against this market's own historypercentile0.99830.32470.98970.68850.5533
Funding and positioning
Reading-24h-4h-1h-15m-1m
Funding against this market's own settled historypercentile0.4840.48410.48410.48410.4841
Funding minus premium indexsigned_fraction0.000050.000050.000050.000050.00005
How much of the hour's volume became new positionssigned_fraction-0.0991UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Minutes until funding settlesminutes30060360315301
Premium index change over 1hsigned_fraction00000
Premium index rank over 30dpercentile0.5340.52640.5250.5250.525
Published premium indexsigned_fraction00000
funding raterate0.000050.000050.000050.000050.00005
global long ratioratio0.58910.5810.57930.58760.5892
hourly change in open contractssigned_fraction-0.003431-0.00087280.00490.00063230.00006242
normalized funding rateratio0.016670.016670.016670.016670.01667
open-interest velocity rankpercentile0.8940.44330.81930.70680.4902
top-trader long ratioratio0.66930.63570.63550.63410.6341
top-versus-crowd long skewratio_difference0.08020.05470.05620.04650.0449
Liquidations

Highlighted cells meet the printed fixed rule. This does not establish rarity, statistical significance or a cause of the move. Book readings describe the best quotes, not full-depth liquidity; liquidation readings describe what the venue reported.

Highlighted readings and exact search conditions

Highlighted readings meet fixed rules, not a statistical-significance test. The observed value and proposed search condition are different: a condition rounds a value or selects an interval for a repeatable search.

  1. -24h2026-09-15 19:00 UTC

    At 24 hours before the move, 21 of the 87 readings met a highlight rule.

    Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.83Book capture nativeCompression · 15m ≥ 3.1Compression · 1h ≥ 2.6Compression · 4h ≥ 2.3Lower wick · 15m ≥ 0.64Sweep + reclaim · 15m bullishSweep + reclaim · 1h bullishCascade clustering ≥ 0.58Depth capture livethe descending resistance line active_1dthe distance from price to the descending resistance 0 to 1the short descending resistance line active_4hhow many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720the support under the short descending resistance fallinghow many times price has touched the short descending resistance ≥ 3the support under the descending resistance risinghow many times price has touched the descending resistance ≥ 3Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.99Taker buy share · 15m ≥ 0.65
    Show the full readings
    READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
    Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance0.8391≥ 0.83
    Book capture feature.book_sourcenativenative
    Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m3.1≥ 3.1
    Compression · 1h feature.candle_compression_1h2.674≥ 2.6
    Compression · 4h feature.candle_compression_4h2.351≥ 2.3
    Lower wick · 15m feature.candle_lower_wick_15m0.6481≥ 0.64
    Sweep + reclaim · 15m feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_15mbullishbullish
    Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1hbullishbullish
    Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index0.5826≥ 0.58
    Depth capture feature.depth_sourcelivelive
    the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_activeactive_1dactive_1d
    the distance from price to the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_dist_atr0.99050 to 1
    the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_activeactive_4hactive_4h
    how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches3≥ 3
    how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break16112 to 720
    the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_supportfallingfalling
    how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches6≥ 3
    the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_supportrisingrising
    how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches4≥ 3
    Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank0.9984≥ 0.99
    Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m0.6509≥ 0.65
  2. -4h2026-09-16 15:00 UTC

    At 4 hours before the move, 14 of the 87 readings met a highlight rule.

    Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.98Book imbalance percentile ≥ 0.93Book capture nativeCascade clustering ≥ 0.58Depth capture livethe descending resistance line active_1dthe short descending resistance line active_4hhow many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720the support under the short descending resistance fallinghow many times price has touched the short descending resistance ≥ 3the support under the descending resistance risinghow many times price has touched the descending resistance ≥ 3VWAP distance · day ≤ -0.021
    Show the full readings
    READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
    Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance0.9807≥ 0.98
    Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank0.9356≥ 0.93
    Book capture feature.book_sourcenativenative
    Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index0.5851≥ 0.58
    Depth capture feature.depth_sourcelivelive
    the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_activeactive_1dactive_1d
    the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_activeactive_4hactive_4h
    how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches3≥ 3
    how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break18112 to 720
    the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_supportfallingfalling
    how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches6≥ 3
    the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_supportrisingrising
    how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches4≥ 3
    VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist-0.02119≤ -0.021
  3. -1h2026-09-16 18:00 UTC

    At 1 hour before the move, 16 of the 87 readings met a highlight rule.

    Book capture nativeCompression · 15m ≥ 3.7Sweep + reclaim · 15m bearishSweep + reclaim · 1h bullishCascade clustering ≥ 0.58Depth capture livethe descending resistance line active_1dthe short descending resistance line active_4hhow many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720the support under the short descending resistance fallinghow many times price has touched the short descending resistance ≥ 3the support under the descending resistance risinghow many times price has touched the descending resistance ≥ 3Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.94Taker buy share · 15m ≥ 0.67
    Show the full readings
    READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
    Book capture feature.book_sourcenativenative
    Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m3.702≥ 3.7
    Sweep + reclaim · 15m feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_15mbearishbearish
    Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1hbullishbullish
    Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index0.5874≥ 0.58
    Depth capture feature.depth_sourcelivelive
    the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_activeactive_1dactive_1d
    the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_activeactive_4hactive_4h
    how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches3≥ 3
    how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break18412 to 720
    the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_supportfallingfalling
    how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches6≥ 3
    the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_supportrisingrising
    how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches4≥ 3
    Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank0.947≥ 0.94
    Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m0.6778≥ 0.67
  4. -15m2026-09-16 18:45 UTC

    At 15 minutes before the move, 17 of the 87 readings met a highlight rule.

    Book capture nativeCompression · 15m ≥ 2.7Lower wick · 15m ≥ 0.88Sweep + reclaim · 1h bullishCascade clustering ≥ 0.58Depth capture livethe descending resistance line active_1dthe short descending resistance line active_4hthe distance from price back to the broken short descending resistance -0.5 to 0.5how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720the support under the short descending resistance fallinghow many times price has touched the short descending resistance ≥ 3the support under the descending resistance risinghow many times price has touched the descending resistance ≥ 3Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.99Return · 1h ≥ 0.021
    Show the full readings
    READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
    Book capture feature.book_sourcenativenative
    Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m2.727≥ 2.7
    Lower wick · 15m feature.candle_lower_wick_15m0.8857≥ 0.88
    Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1hbullishbullish
    Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index0.5882≥ 0.58
    Depth capture feature.depth_sourcelivelive
    the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_activeactive_1dactive_1d
    the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_activeactive_4hactive_4h
    the distance from price back to the broken short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_dist_atr-0.03969-0.5 to 0.5
    how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches3≥ 3
    how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break184.812 to 720
    the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_supportfallingfalling
    how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches6≥ 3
    the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_supportrisingrising
    how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches4≥ 3
    Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank0.9986≥ 0.99
    Return · 1h feature.ret_1h0.02117≥ 0.021
  5. -1m2026-09-16 18:59 UTC

    At 1 minute before the move, 17 of the 87 readings met a highlight rule.

    Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.72Book capture nativeCompression · 15m ≥ 2.7Lower wick · 15m ≥ 0.88Sweep + reclaim · 1h bullishCascade clustering ≥ 0.58Depth capture livethe descending resistance line active_1dthe short descending resistance line active_4hthe distance from price back to the broken short descending resistance -0.5 to 0.5how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720the support under the short descending resistance fallinghow many times price has touched the short descending resistance ≥ 3the support under the descending resistance risinghow many times price has touched the descending resistance ≥ 3Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.98
    Show the full readings
    READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
    Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance-0.7264≤ -0.72
    Book capture feature.book_sourcenativenative
    Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m2.727≥ 2.7
    Lower wick · 15m feature.candle_lower_wick_15m0.8857≥ 0.88
    Sweep + reclaim · 1h feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1hbullishbullish
    Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index0.5882≥ 0.58
    Depth capture feature.depth_sourcelivelive
    the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_activeactive_1dactive_1d
    the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_activeactive_4hactive_4h
    the distance from price back to the broken short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_dist_atr0.2557-0.5 to 0.5
    how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches3≥ 3
    how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break18512 to 720
    the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_supportfallingfalling
    how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches6≥ 3
    the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_supportrisingrising
    how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches4≥ 3
    Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank0.9862≥ 0.98

Point the research surface at any past minute yourself PRO

Historical comparison

Exact setup countedBook imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.72 and Book capture native and Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.98 · Read at 1 minute before the move.These are the printed conditions only. The selected detector family does not change this automatically proposed combination. Edit it before testing the full recipe.

What the record says

The selected move lasts 125 hours. This comparison measures 168 hours after each historical match. Changing it uses the existing result.

Too few completed windows for a directional generalization.

OutcomeMatching setupSame-market referenceDifference
Finished at least 2% higher11 / 24 (45.8%)18 unavailable12,496 / 29,916 (41.8%)13285 unavailableNot reported
Finished at least 2% lower5 / 24 (20.8%)18 unavailable4,006 / 29,916 (13.4%)13285 unavailableNot reported
Reached +5% at any point20 / 31 (64.5%)11 unavailable19,200 / 31,493 (61.0%)11708 unavailable+3.6 pp
Reached -5% at any point15 / 31 (48.4%)11 unavailable14,166 / 31,493 (45.0%)11708 unavailable+3.4 pp

Reference: eligible minutes in the same market and scan period, without the proposed conditions. The 30-window reporting floor is not a significance test. Overlapping windows and shared market events can reduce independent evidence. Conditions were selected after seeing this move; confirmation needs unseen data.

Does this setup hold across its sector?

Open the proposed study with starting defaults. Review the evidence, refine the idea, then save it or monitor it if useful.

Multiple recorded sectors: sector_crypto, sector_gaming. Choose one explicitly.

Starting defaults and coverage

Starting defaults: 2026-08-23 to 2026-09-22 UTC; finishes up 2% or more after 1 hour. Review or change the markets, dates, conditions and outcome before running. Current recorded classification and sector tags, not point-in-time membership. Historical membership may differ. Instrument history does not guarantee every setup input or outcome is present; actual study exclusions remain authoritative.

Choose a different recorded sector

520 sector crypto markets

27 gaming sector markets

Choose the study population explicitly: This market only · All recorded crypto perpetuals

Watch the ignition replay Free replay covers the latest fully archived UTC day on 6 major markets. Pro reaches 90 days; Research reaches the whole recorded order book, which begins 15 May 2026. Earlier days are searchable but hold no book, so they cannot be replayed. Access is checked when you open a replay.

This move ran past the end of the record, so the counts below cover the lead-up and the covered part of the move. Later minutes become available only after successful extraction; check the displayed coverage timestamp.

Evidence and counting
feature.book_imbalance + feature.book_source + feature.realized_vol_pctrank

Read at 1 minute before the move.

Of the 42 fires, 36 came before the move began and 6 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.

About 1.4 a day, on 24 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#2fc9ef6c @ dataset 85fdc316

This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.

Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.

Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.

If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.

Also counted

Book capture native and Compression · 15m ≥ 2.7 and Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.9916 matches, 7 rose, 9 fell
feature.book_source + feature.candle_compression_15m + feature.realized_vol_pctrank

Read at 15 minutes before the move.

7 rose and 9 fell over 16 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.

Of the 16 fires, 15 came before the move began and 1 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.

About 0.5 a day, on 13 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#0c4bb5a5 @ dataset 85fdc316
Book capture native and Compression · 15m ≥ 3.7 and Realized vol percentile ≥ 0.9414 matches, 8 rose, 4 fell
feature.book_source + feature.candle_compression_15m + feature.realized_vol_pctrank

Read at 1 hour before the move.

8 rose and 4 fell over 12 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.

Of the 14 fires, 14 came before the move began; none were during it.

About 0.5 a day, on 10 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#8ac75a8b @ dataset 85fdc316

Every night the record counts what fired and what usually followed: the daily brief.

No account? Replay a real move tick by tick, free: TUT short squeeze · 9 Aug 2026.