edgedepthEARLY ACCESS
Menu
Terminal
ResearchResearch hubResearch WorkbenchInvestigate a movePublished reportsDaily briefEvent archiveSaved studiesLive alertsMarketsData coverage
LearnGuidesReading libraryWorked examplesGuided lessonsFAQ
DevelopersAPI documentationMCP setupConnect an AI agentOpen source
Change market, time or detector

All times are UTC. Chart history only changes the display. Historical comparisons use the 30 days before the selected start and measure their own outcome horizon.

Move read

OPENAIUSDT rose into Sep 21

+15%

Move window

Move window: 2026-09-15 21:00 to 2026-09-21 18:00 UTC.

141 hours. The automatic start is the last covered hourly candle touching the bottom 5% of the episode range (top 5% for a fall), measured using the eventual extreme. It is a hindsight anchor, not a detected causal onset. Change the start above to inspect a later acceleration. The end marks the hour containing the price extreme, not an exact tick.

Stored analytical feature coverage for OPENAIUSDT ends 2026-09-22 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Price candles can continue beyond it; feature availability and tick replay are separate.

The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.

106 historical matches for the proposed conditions. This is an exploratory investigation. The combined trendline, compression and microstructure hypothesis still needs validation.

> Full OPENAIUSDT research page

Explore the move and its lead-up

Price history: lead-up and selected move
selected startreadings taken here+15%1395.531532.521682.95Sep 14 23:00Sep 15 21:00Sep 21 22:00UTC · log price scale

Hourly candles. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start. These five samples test the lead-up only, not the full move. Use the minute inspector to explore during or after the move.

Explore historical state

Current-minute reads are free after sign-in. Pro and Research include historical-minute inspection and comparison with an hour earlier.

Past readings use stored inputs where available. Recent minutes may use the live buffer and are labelled unpinned. Missing minutes remain visible.

Read the available analytical inputs at one minute, including measurements over the preceding windows. Compare with an hour earlier, then take a reading into Research to test it. Dates are UTC.

These additional reads are separate from the five pre-start samples. Observations during or after the selected move describe what had already happened; they are not advance evidence.

Selected time: 2026-09-15 21:00 UTC. During the selected move: hindsight. Choose Read this minute to request it. Missing minutes remain unavailable.

Before the time above:

Follow positioning and flow through the move

Read 23 sampled minutes from the selected start through one hour after the selected end. The peak hour has extra 15-minute samples. The end marks the peak hour, not the exact peak tick. These are separate snapshots, not a continuous tape or an advance-warning test.

Historical access applies. Reads preserve each source revision; missing values stay unavailable. Contract OI, turnover and direct spot basis are not supplied by this table. Published premium is a different measure from direct basis.

No additional reads have run.

The OI score measures absolute USD-notional change, not signed contract growth. Zero 15-second liquidation intensity can coexist with substantial hourly liquidations. Binance liquidation amounts are observed publications, not complete venue totals.

Pre-start evidence: five separate snapshots

Geometry and microstructure, on the same clock

Read left to right: 24h → 4h → 1h → 15m → 1m before the selected start. These are five snapshots, not a continuous tape. Neutral readings stay visible; unavailable values are never zero.

Descending resistance
Reading-24h-4h-1h-15m-1m
Time since resistance breakhours · Highlight: 12 to 720 (inclusive)290310313313.8314
Resistance line spandaysUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Resistance touchescountUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Touches before resistance breakcount · Highlight: ≥ 355555
Line ATR contractionmultipleUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Resistance line statelabelnonenonenonenonenone
Distance to broken resistancemultiple-5.37-5.112-4.788-4.731-4.814
Distance to resistancemultipleUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Support shapelabelUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Candle compression
Reading-24h-4h-1h-15m-1m
last 15-minute candle range versus its baselinemultiple0.41150.50670.9020.90290.9029
last four-hour candle range versus its baselinemultiple1.3441.4520.70720.70720.7072
last one-hour candle range versus its baselinemultiple0.46770.46030.5270.5270.527
Order book
Reading-24h-4h-1h-15m-1m
Order-book imbalanceratio · Highlight: ≤ -0.5 or ≥ 0.5-0.63640.504-0.6701-0.90180.7263
book capture regimelabel · Highlight: State other than none or normalnativenativenativenativenative
cost of buying 100k from the bookbps128.5118.2115.8111.8138.6
cost of selling 100k into the bookbps132.3146.5164.5149.3151.6
depth capture regimelabel · Highlight: State other than none or normallivelivelivelivelive
normalized spreadratio0.059770.046590.047050.063760.08298
order-book imbalance rankpercentile0.50320.5070.70770.31370.7922
quoted spread in basis pointsbps2.9892.332.3533.1884.149
sharpest pull of resting asks in the minuteratio0.06430.077270.061670.052320.0585
sharpest pull of resting bids in the minuteratio0.079570.062070.034730.065140.06582
What takers paid to cross over 15 minutesbps6.4954.0253.3182.5175.043
Trade flow
Reading-24h-4h-1h-15m-1m
Dollar volume over 15 minutesusd9436084240432708335060800
Flow toxicity against this market's own historypercentile0.70530.32860.27670.30110.3111
Illiquidity against this market's own historypercentile0.86780.66270.96830.99270.9753
Informed-trading pressureratio0.21270.16150.15310.15420.1547
Net taker flow over the trailing four hoursratio0.0009589-0.03805-0.01684-0.01702-0.006486
Net taker flow over the trailing hourratio0.04399-0.0042680.13140.052410.08886
Price impact per dollar tradedper_million_usd0.071020.047530.066760.10310.09613
large-trade share of recent flowratio00000
persistence of taker flow over the hourratio0.03894-0.14220.03583-0.1435-0.1046
taker-buy share of recent flowratio0.49280.46040.53120.49190.5829
VPIN regimelabelnormalnormalnormalnormalnormal
Turnover against its recent hoursratioUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Volume against this market's own historypercentile0.1940.19950.15510.24070.206
Funding and positioning
Reading-24h-4h-1h-15m-1m
Funding against this market's own settled historypercentileUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Funding minus premium indexsigned_fractionUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
How much of the hour's volume became new positionssigned_fractionUnavailableUnavailable0.1211UnavailableUnavailable
Minutes until funding settlesminutes180420240195181
Premium index change over 1hsigned_fractionUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Premium index rank over 30dpercentileUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
Published premium indexsigned_fractionUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
funding raterate0.000050.000050.000050.000050.00005
global long ratioratio0.61640.63730.6440.64430.6439
hourly change in open contractssigned_fraction-0.0018580.00017020.0025020.00063170.0009164
normalized funding rateratio0.016670.016670.016670.016670.01667
open-interest velocity rankpercentile0.33540.22510.4850.42380.4523
top-trader long ratioratio0.52580.53790.53740.53690.5366
top-versus-crowd long skewratio_difference-0.0906-0.0994-0.1066-0.1074-0.1073
Liquidations
Reading-24h-4h-1h-15m-1m
Cascade clusteringratio · Highlight: ≥ 0.50.51080.51070.51070.51070.5107
Liquidation intensityratio00000
Liquidations in the trailing hourusd00000
Longs liquidated in the trailing hourusd00000
Shorts liquidated in the trailing hourusd00000
distance down to the nearest bright 50x to 100x liquidation shelfpercentUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
distance down to the nearest bright 5x to 25x liquidation shelfpercentUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
distance up to the nearest bright 50x to 100x liquidation shelfpercentUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable
distance up to the nearest bright 5x to 25x liquidation shelfpercent3.183.484.444.624.56
liquidation burst against this market's own historypercentile0.48630.49190.47790.47880.4791
Which side the trailing hour of liquidations fell onratioUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable

Highlighted cells meet the printed fixed rule. This does not establish rarity, statistical significance or a cause of the move. Book readings describe the best quotes, not full-depth liquidity; liquidation readings describe what the venue reported.

Highlighted readings and exact search conditions

Highlighted readings meet fixed rules, not a statistical-significance test. The observed value and proposed search condition are different: a condition rounds a value or selects an interval for a repeatable search.

  1. -24h2026-09-14 21:00 UTC

    At 24 hours before the move, 13 of the 87 readings met a highlight rule.

    Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.63Book capture nativeCompression · 15m ≤ 0.42Compression · 1h ≤ 0.47Containment · 15m insideCascade clustering ≥ 0.51Depth capture livehow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the descending resistance broke 12 to 720how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720Realized vol percentile ≤ 0.047VWAP distance · day ≥ 0.031
    Show the full readings
    READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
    Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance-0.6364≤ -0.63
    Book capture feature.book_sourcenativenative
    Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m0.4115≤ 0.42
    Compression · 1h feature.candle_compression_1h0.4677≤ 0.47
    Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15minsideinside
    Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index0.5108≥ 0.51
    Depth capture feature.depth_sourcelivelive
    how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches5≥ 3
    how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break29012 to 720
    how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches3≥ 3
    how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break17812 to 720
    Realized vol percentile feature.realized_vol_pctrank0.04613≤ 0.047
    VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist0.0319≥ 0.031
  2. -4h2026-09-15 17:00 UTC

    At 4 hours before the move, 10 of the 87 readings met a highlight rule.

    Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.5Book capture nativeCompression · 1h ≤ 0.47Lower wick · 15m ≥ 0.72Cascade clustering ≥ 0.51Depth capture livehow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the descending resistance broke 12 to 720how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720
    Show the full readings
    READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
    Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance0.504≥ 0.5
    Book capture feature.book_sourcenativenative
    Compression · 1h feature.candle_compression_1h0.4603≤ 0.47
    Lower wick · 15m feature.candle_lower_wick_15m0.7264≥ 0.72
    Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index0.5107≥ 0.51
    Depth capture feature.depth_sourcelivelive
    how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches5≥ 3
    how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break31012 to 720
    how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches3≥ 3
    how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break19812 to 720
  3. -1h2026-09-15 20:00 UTC

    At 1 hour before the move, 9 of the 87 readings met a highlight rule.

    Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.67Book capture nativeEngulfing · 15m bullishCascade clustering ≥ 0.51Depth capture livehow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the descending resistance broke 12 to 720how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720
    Show the full readings
    READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
    Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance-0.6701≤ -0.67
    Book capture feature.book_sourcenativenative
    Engulfing · 15m feature.candle_engulfing_15mbullishbullish
    Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index0.5107≥ 0.51
    Depth capture feature.depth_sourcelivelive
    how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches5≥ 3
    how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break31312 to 720
    how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches3≥ 3
    how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break20112 to 720
  4. -15m2026-09-15 20:45 UTC

    At 15 minutes before the move, 10 of the 87 readings met a highlight rule.

    Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.9Book capture nativeContainment · 15m outsideSweep + reclaim · 15m bullishCascade clustering ≥ 0.51Depth capture livehow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the descending resistance broke 12 to 720how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720
    Show the full readings
    READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
    Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance-0.9018≤ -0.9
    Book capture feature.book_sourcenativenative
    Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15moutsideoutside
    Sweep + reclaim · 15m feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_15mbullishbullish
    Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index0.5107≥ 0.51
    Depth capture feature.depth_sourcelivelive
    how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches5≥ 3
    how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break313.812 to 720
    how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches3≥ 3
    how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break201.812 to 720
  5. -1m2026-09-15 20:59 UTC

    At 1 minute before the move, 10 of the 87 readings met a highlight rule.

    Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.72Book capture nativeContainment · 15m outsideSweep + reclaim · 15m bullishCascade clustering ≥ 0.51Depth capture livehow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the descending resistance broke 12 to 720how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested ≥ 3how long ago the short descending resistance broke 12 to 720
    Show the full readings
    READINGBEFORE THE MOVESEARCHES FOR
    Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance0.7263≥ 0.72
    Book capture feature.book_sourcenativenative
    Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15moutsideoutside
    Sweep + reclaim · 15m feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_15mbullishbullish
    Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index0.5107≥ 0.51
    Depth capture feature.depth_sourcelivelive
    how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches5≥ 3
    how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break31412 to 720
    how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches3≥ 3
    how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break20212 to 720

Point the research surface at any past minute yourself PRO

Historical comparison

Exact setup countedBook imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.67 and Book capture native and Engulfing · 15m bullish · Read at 1 hour before the move.These are the printed conditions only. The selected detector family does not change this automatically proposed combination. Edit it before testing the full recipe.

What the record says

The selected move lasts 141 hours. This comparison measures 168 hours after each historical match. Changing it uses the existing result.

Descriptive comparison; an edge has not been established.

OutcomeMatching setupSame-market referenceDifference
Finished at least 2% higher40 / 66 (60.6%)40 unavailable15,695 / 25,960 (60.5%)17241 unavailable+0.1 pp
Finished at least 2% lower7 / 66 (10.6%)40 unavailable2,452 / 25,960 (9.4%)17241 unavailable+1.2 pp
Reached +5% at any point56 / 74 (75.7%)32 unavailable18,970 / 28,741 (66.0%)14460 unavailable+9.7 pp
Reached -5% at any point19 / 74 (25.7%)32 unavailable7,212 / 28,741 (25.1%)14460 unavailable+0.6 pp

Reference: eligible minutes in the same market and scan period, without the proposed conditions. The 30-window reporting floor is not a significance test. Overlapping windows and shared market events can reduce independent evidence. Conditions were selected after seeing this move; confirmation needs unseen data.

Does this setup hold across its sector?

Open the proposed study with starting defaults. Review the evidence, refine the idea, then save it or monitor it if useful.

What Research includes

Choose a recorded Binance crypto perpetual market with confirmed instrument classification.

Starting defaults and coverage

Starting defaults: 2026-08-23 to 2026-09-22 UTC; finishes up 2% or more after 1 hour. Review or change the markets, dates, conditions and outcome before running. Current recorded classification and sector tags, not point-in-time membership. Historical membership may differ. Instrument history does not guarantee every setup input or outcome is present; actual study exclusions remain authoritative.

Choose the study population explicitly: All recorded crypto perpetuals

Watch the ignition replay Free replay covers the latest fully archived UTC day on 6 major markets. Pro reaches 90 days; Research reaches the whole recorded order book, which begins 15 May 2026. Earlier days are searchable but hold no book, so they cannot be replayed. Access is checked when you open a replay.

Evidence and counting
feature.book_imbalance + feature.book_source + feature.candle_engulfing_15m

Read at 1 hour before the move.

Of the 106 fires, 86 came before the move began and 18 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.

About 3.4 a day, on 29 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#f898d221 @ dataset 85fdc316

This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.

Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.

Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.

If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.

Also counted

Book imbalance · top levels ≥ 0.72 and Book capture native and Containment · 15m outside229 matches, 117 rose, 76 fell
feature.book_imbalance + feature.book_source + feature.candle_containment_15m

Read at 1 minute before the move.

After 30 minutes this setup fell 2% or more in 0 of 193 complete windows (0.0%), against 0.4% with no condition (153 of 35,032): 0.00x.

Best point inside 30 minutes reached +5% or more in 0 of 209 complete windows; worst point fell 5% or more in 0 of 209.

Of the 229 fires, 174 came before the move began and 53 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.

About 7.4 a day, on 30 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#c20d9aeb @ dataset 85fdc316
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.9 and Book capture native and Containment · 15m outside180 matches, 85 rose, 77 fell
feature.book_imbalance + feature.book_source + feature.candle_containment_15m

Read at 15 minutes before the move.

After 30 minutes this setup fell 2% or more in 0 of 162 complete windows (0.0%), against 0.4% with no condition (153 of 35,032): 0.00x.

Best point inside 30 minutes reached +5% or more in 0 of 173 complete windows; worst point fell 5% or more in 0 of 173.

Of the 180 fires, 136 came before the move began and 42 happened while it was already under way. A fire during the move sees it; it does not telegraph it.

About 5.8 a day, on 30 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.

q#d250c23b @ dataset 85fdc316

Every night the record counts what fired and what usually followed: the daily brief.

No account? Replay a real move tick by tick, free: TUT short squeeze · 9 Aug 2026.