Research is a work in progress. Estimated release: 1 December 2026. Our goal is to make it a search engine for trading setups in recorded crypto markets.
Binance USDT-MFLOCKUSDT rose 54% on 30 August 2026
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Next stepWhat happened
Price opened the 09:00 hour at 0.03172 and reached a highest trade of 0.0488 in the 07:00 hour; the tested readings were taken at 05:00.
What stood out at 05:00
- Containment (15m)outsideTested: is outside
- Engulfing (15m)bullishTested: is bullish
- Liquidation bunching0.5416Tested: 0.54 or higher
05:00 always meets its own rules.
What the record says
Too few results to compare
Price at least 2% higher after 30 minutes
23 matches in 43,201 minutes checked.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Evidence
Does it hold on more dates?
Nothing runs until you press Run.
Exactly what was counted3 conditions · 23 of 43,201 minutes · saved text
- Containment (15m) is outside.Containment · 15m outside · feature.candle_containment_15m
- Engulfing (15m) is bullish.Engulfing · 15m bullish · feature.candle_engulfing_15m
- Liquidation bunching 0.54 or higher. How bunched in time recent liquidations were; higher means more bunched, and it stays below 1.Cascade clustering ≥ 0.54 · feature.cascade_clustering_index
Read at 4 hours before the move.
Read at 05:00 UTC on 30 August, four hours before the selected 09:00 start.
FLOCK only, 5 August to 3 September 2026 (UTC, ending 4 September 00:00); all 3 readings had values on 43,201 of those minutes.
Reference: every FLOCK minute over the same dates, matches included; it is not a matched control group.
Outcome: the close exactly 30 minutes later, not the highest or lowest price along the way.
The 09:00 start was picked automatically after the move.
FLOCKUSDT stored readings end 2026-09-04 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Prices and tick replay have separate coverage.
The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
Saved study q#9c055e87 @ dataset ea3968f0, counted 5 Sep 2026 07:57 UTC.
Saved summary text, as written 5 Sep 2026
Written automatically when this study was saved and kept as written; where a line differs from the counts above, the counts govern.
Minutes like this appeared only 23 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often lower: 14 of the 23 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward fell (61%).
9 rose and 14 fell over 23 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.7 a day, on 17 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
It counts the single minute on 4 September as a day.
The other reading times, as written
From 1 minute before
Minutes like this appeared only 12 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often higher: 8 of the 12 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (67%).
8 rose and 4 fell over 12 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.4 a day over 31 days, but 2026-08-19 alone holds 58% of them: this is close to a single episode.
From 1 hour before
Minutes like this appeared only 16 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often higher: 11 of the 15 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (73%).
11 rose and 4 fell over 15 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.5 a day over 31 days, but 2026-08-19 alone holds 69% of them: this is close to a single episode.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 23 matches came on 17 of 30 days, 1 during the rise.
When the matches happened17 of 30 days
- 7 Aug1 match
- 9 Aug1 match
- 10 Aug2 matches
- 13 Aug1 match
- 14 Aug1 match
- 15 Aug1 match
- 16 Aug1 match
- 17 Aug1 match
- 18 Aug2 matches
- 23 Aug1 match
- 26 Aug3 matches
- 27 Aug1 match
- 28 Aug2 matches
- 29 Aug1 match
- 30 Aug2 matches
- 31 Aug1 match
- 3 Sep1 match
No matches on the other 13 days.
Of the 23 matches, 20 came before the rise began, 1 during it and 2 after it.
Neighbouring minutes overlap, so these are not 23 separate trials.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 23 matches came on 17 of 30 days, 1 during the rise.
Other time frames30 minutes to 7 days
The answer uses 30 minutes, the time frame this study counted by default. Each row counts the same matches at a later close, in both directions. The bars show how often price was 2% or more higher at each time frame: first the matches, then any FLOCK minute.
- 30 minutes
0 of 23 were 2% or more lower; any FLOCK minute 772 of 41,970 (1.8%).
Every match has a 30-minute close.
At least 1 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 1 hour
1 of 21 was 2% or more lower; any FLOCK minute 1,324 of 41,952 (3.2%).
2 without a 1-hour close yet, left out.
At least 1 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 4 hours
4 of 21 were 2% or more lower; any FLOCK minute 4,217 of 41,764 (10.1%).
2 without a 4-hour close yet, left out.
At least 1 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 24 hours
5 of 21 were 2% or more lower; any FLOCK minute 9,899 of 40,548 (24.4%).
2 without a 24-hour close yet, left out.
At least 1 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 72 hours
5 of 21 were 2% or more lower; any FLOCK minute 8,060 of 37,725 (21.4%).
2 without a 72-hour close yet, left out.
At least 4 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 7 days
0 of 15 were 2% or more lower; any FLOCK minute 4,400 of 32,102 (13.7%).
8 without a 7-day close yet, left out.
At least 4 of these windows overlap the rise.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 23 matches came on 17 of 30 days, 1 during the rise.
Readings at five times before the rise24 hours to 1 minute before · 2 other times tried
Highlights follow fixed rules, not significance tests. Proposed conditions round values or use ranges; inspect them before running.
24 hours before · 29 Aug 09:00 UTC · 6 of 58 stood out
Liquidation bunching 0.54 or higherHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720The distance from price back to the broken short descending resistance between -0.5 and 0.5Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5421 ≥ 0.54 how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 228 12 to 720 the distance from price back to the broken short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_dist_atr -0.1518 -0.5 to 0.5 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 36 12 to 720 4 hours before · 30 Aug 05:00 UTC · 11 of 58 stood out
Containment (15m) is outsideEngulfing (15m) is bullishLiquidation bunching 0.54 or higherThe descending resistance line is active 1dHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the descending resistance is fallingHow many times price has touched the descending resistance 3 or higherTaker buy share (15m) 0.87 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m outside outside Engulfing · 15m feature.candle_engulfing_15m bullish bullish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5416 ≥ 0.54 the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_active active_1d active_1d how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 248 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 56 12 to 720 the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_support falling falling how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches 4 ≥ 3 Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.8702 ≥ 0.87 1 hour before · 30 Aug 08:00 UTC · 11 of 58 stood out
Containment (15m) is insideLiquidation bunching 0.54 or higherThe descending resistance line is active 1dHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the descending resistance is fallingHow many times price has touched the descending resistance 3 or higherMinutes to funding 1 or lowerTaker buy share (15m) 0.84 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5416 ≥ 0.54 the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_active active_1d active_1d how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 251 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 59 12 to 720 the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_support falling falling how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches 4 ≥ 3 Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding 0 ≤ 1 Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.8453 ≥ 0.84 15 minutes before · 30 Aug 08:45 UTC · 9 of 58 stood out
Lower wick (15m) 0.63 or higherLiquidation bunching 0.54 or higherThe descending resistance line is active 1dHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the descending resistance is fallingHow many times price has touched the descending resistance 3 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Lower wick · 15m feature.candle_lower_wick_15m 0.6364 ≥ 0.63 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5416 ≥ 0.54 the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_active active_1d active_1d how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 251.8 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 59.75 12 to 720 the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_support falling falling how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches 4 ≥ 3 1 minute before · 30 Aug 08:59 UTC · 9 of 58 stood out
Lower wick (15m) 0.63 or higherLiquidation bunching 0.54 or higherThe descending resistance line is active 1dHow many times the broken descending resistance had been tested 3 or higherHow long ago the descending resistance broke between 12 and 720Touches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the descending resistance is fallingHow many times price has touched the descending resistance 3 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Lower wick · 15m feature.candle_lower_wick_15m 0.6364 ≥ 0.63 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5416 ≥ 0.54 the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_active active_1d active_1d how many times the broken descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_broken_touches 4 ≥ 3 how long ago the descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_hours_since_break 252 12 to 720 how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 59.98 12 to 720 the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_support falling falling how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches 4 ≥ 3
Two other reading times we tried 12 and 16 matches
1 minute before (08:59): lower wick (15m) 0.63 or higher, liquidation bunching 0.54 or higher, the descending resistance line is active 1d.
Lower wick · 15m ≥ 0.63 and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.54 and the descending resistance line active_1d
12 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 0 of 12, and 2% or more lower in 0 of 12.
Of the 12 matches, 12 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 0 after it.
1 hour before (08:00): containment (15m) is inside, liquidation bunching 0.54 or higher, the descending resistance line is active 1d.
Containment · 15m inside and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.54 and the descending resistance line active_1d
16 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 0 of 15, and 2% or more lower in 0 of 15.
Of the 16 matches, 14 came before the rise began, 2 during it and 0 after it.
Fewer than 30 results, so no rate is printed.
No set had 30 matches before the rise; the saved study leads with the one that had the most.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 23 matches came on 17 of 30 days, 1 during the rise.
Hourly candles around the risefull context, lead-up, move
The 09:00 start was picked after the move, and the hour before was already rising.
Hourly candles, UTC. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start.
Other ways to test itsame dates
- This market only
- The 57 AI sector markets · No result for these markets has been measured.
- Every recorded market
Same 3 conditions on FLOCK, 6 July to 4 August 2026.
Each opens Review the test.
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