Research is a work in progress. Estimated release: 1 December 2026. Our goal is to make it a search engine for trading setups in recorded crypto markets.
Binance USDT-MTAKEUSDT rose 252% on 23 September 2026
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Next stepWhat happened
Price opened the 05:00 hour at 0.06101 and reached a highest trade of 0.2147 in the 09:00 hour; the tested readings were taken at 04:59.
What stood out at 04:59
- Containment (15m)insideTested: is inside
- Engulfing (15m)bearishTested: is bearish
- Liquidation bunching0.5359Tested: 0.53 or higher
04:59 always meets its own rules.
What the record says
Too few results to compare
Price at least 2% higher after 30 minutes
11 matches in 43,201 minutes checked; 1 missing a 30-minute close, left out.
Picked after the rise, on one market.
Evidence
Does it hold on other markets?
No result for these markets has been measured; nothing runs until you press Run.
Exactly what was counted3 conditions · 11 of 43,201 minutes · saved text
- Containment (15m) is inside.Containment · 15m inside · feature.candle_containment_15m
- Engulfing (15m) is bearish.Engulfing · 15m bearish · feature.candle_engulfing_15m
- Liquidation bunching 0.53 or higher. How bunched in time recent liquidations were; higher means more bunched, and it stays below 1.Cascade clustering ≥ 0.53 · feature.cascade_clustering_index
Read at 1 minute before the move.
Read at 04:59 UTC on 23 September, one minute before the selected 05:00 start.
TAKE only, 31 August to 29 September 2026 (UTC, ending 30 September 00:00); all 3 readings had values on 43,201 of those minutes.
Reference: every TAKE minute over the same dates, matches included; it is not a matched control group.
Outcome: the close exactly 30 minutes later, not the highest or lowest price along the way.
The 05:00 start was picked automatically after the move.
TAKEUSDT stored readings end 2026-09-30 00:00 UTC (exclusive). Prices and tick replay have separate coverage.
The feature manifest spans the lead-up. Individual minutes or inputs can still be unavailable.
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
Saved study q#286197f3 @ dataset a0160256, counted 30 Sep 2026 21:17 UTC.
Saved summary text, as written 30 Sep 2026
Written automatically when this study was saved and kept as written; where a line differs from the counts above, the counts govern.
Minutes like this appeared only 11 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often higher: 6 of the 10 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (60%).
6 rose and 4 fell over 10 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.4 a day, on 8 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
It counts the single minute on 30 September as a day.
The other reading times, as written
From 1 hour before
Minutes like this appeared only 4 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often higher: 3 of the 4 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (75%).
3 rose and 1 fell over 4 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0.1 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-23 alone holds 100% of them: this is close to a single episode.
From 4 hours before
Minutes like this appeared only 1 time in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed was more often higher: 1 of the 1 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (100%).
1 rose and 0 fell over 1 complete 30m windows. Too few completed windows for a directional generalization. No horizon cleared the floor of 30 complete windows on both the setup and the reference, so no lift is claimed.
About 0 a day over 31 days, but 2026-09-23 alone holds 100% of them: this is close to a single episode.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 11 matches came on 8 of 30 days.
When the matches happened8 of 30 days
- 3 Sep1 match
- 4 Sep1 match
- 13 Sep1 match
- 19 Sep1 match
- 20 Sep2 matches
- 21 Sep1 match
- 23 Sep2 matches
- 25 Sep2 matches
No matches on the other 22 days.
Of the 11 matches, 9 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 2 after it.
Neighbouring minutes overlap, so these are not 11 separate trials.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 11 matches came on 8 of 30 days.
Other time frames30 minutes to 7 days
The answer uses 30 minutes, the time frame this study counted by default. Each row counts the same matches at a later close, in both directions. The bars show how often price was 2% or more higher at each time frame: first the matches, then any TAKE minute.
- 30 minutes
2 of 10 were 2% or more lower; any TAKE minute 1,904 of 42,705 (4.5%).
1 without a 30-minute close yet, left out.
- 1 hour
1 of 11 was 2% or more lower; any TAKE minute 3,103 of 42,688 (7.3%).
Every match has a 1-hour close.
- 4 hours
4 of 11 were 2% or more lower; any TAKE minute 7,790 of 42,498 (18.3%).
Every match has a 4-hour close.
- 24 hours
3 of 11 were 2% or more lower; any TAKE minute 12,137 of 41,304 (29.4%).
Every match has a 24-hour close.
At least 2 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 72 hours
6 of 11 were 2% or more lower; any TAKE minute 16,870 of 38,426 (43.9%).
Every match has a 72-hour close.
At least 3 of these windows overlap the rise.
- 7 days
4 of 7 were 2% or more lower; any TAKE minute 11,489 of 32,670 (35.2%).
4 without a 7-day close yet, left out.
At least 4 of these windows overlap the rise.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 11 matches came on 8 of 30 days.
Readings at five times before the rise24 hours to 1 minute before · 2 other times tried
Highlights follow fixed rules, not significance tests. Proposed conditions round values or use ranges; inspect them before running.
24 hours before · 22 Sep 05:00 UTC · 13 of 88 stood out
Order book tilt 0.99 or higherOrder book lopsidedness 0.94 or higherLiquidation bunching 0.53 or higherThe descending resistance line is active bothThe distance from price to the descending resistance between 0 and 1The short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is risingTouches on the resistance 3 or moreThe support under the descending resistance is risingHow many times price has touched the descending resistance 3 or higherTaker buy share (15m) 0.83 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance 0.996 ≥ 0.99 Book imbalance percentile feature.book_imbalance_pctrank 0.9431 ≥ 0.94 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5396 ≥ 0.53 the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_active active_both active_both the distance from price to the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_dist_atr 0.2894 0 to 1 the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 263 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support rising rising how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 4 ≥ 3 the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_support rising rising how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches 5 ≥ 3 Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.8391 ≥ 0.83 4 hours before · 23 Sep 01:00 UTC · 11 of 88 stood out
Upper wick (15m) 0.83 or higherLiquidation bunching 0.53 or higherThe descending resistance line is active 4hThe short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is risingTouches on the resistance 3 or moreThe support under the descending resistance is risingHow many times price has touched the descending resistance 3 or higherTaker buy share (15m) 0.31 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Upper wick · 15m feature.candle_upper_wick_15m 0.8387 ≥ 0.83 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5364 ≥ 0.53 the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_active active_4h active_4h the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 283 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support rising rising how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 5 ≥ 3 the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_support rising rising how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches 5 ≥ 3 Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.3049 ≤ 0.31 1 hour before · 23 Sep 04:00 UTC · 10 of 88 stood out
Order book tilt -0.77 or lowerLiquidation bunching 0.53 or higherThe descending resistance line is active 4hThe short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is risingTouches on the resistance 3 or moreThe support under the descending resistance is risingHow many times price has touched the descending resistance 3 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance -0.7755 ≤ -0.77 Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5364 ≥ 0.53 the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_active active_4h active_4h the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 286 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support rising rising how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 5 ≥ 3 the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_support rising rising how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches 5 ≥ 3 15 minutes before · 23 Sep 04:45 UTC · 12 of 88 stood out
Containment (15m) is insideEngulfing (15m) is bearishLiquidation bunching 0.53 or higherThe descending resistance line is active 4hThe short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is risingTouches on the resistance 3 or moreThe support under the descending resistance is risingHow many times price has touched the descending resistance 3 or higherTaker buy share (15m) 0.21 or lowerShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside Engulfing · 15m feature.candle_engulfing_15m bearish bearish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5359 ≥ 0.53 the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_active active_4h active_4h the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 286.8 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support rising rising how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 5 ≥ 3 the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_support rising rising how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches 5 ≥ 3 Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m 0.2079 ≤ 0.21 1 minute before · 23 Sep 04:59 UTC · 11 of 88 stood out
Containment (15m) is insideEngulfing (15m) is bearishLiquidation bunching 0.53 or higherThe descending resistance line is active 4hThe short descending resistance line is active 4hTouches on the broken resistance 3 or moreTime since the resistance broke between 12 and 720 hoursThe support under the short descending resistance is risingTouches on the resistance 3 or moreThe support under the descending resistance is risingHow many times price has touched the descending resistance 3 or higherShow the full readings
Reading Value at that minute Stored rule Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m inside inside Engulfing · 15m feature.candle_engulfing_15m bearish bearish Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index 0.5359 ≥ 0.53 the descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_active active_4h active_4h the short descending resistance line feature.desc_resistance_short_active active_4h active_4h how many times the broken short descending resistance had been tested feature.desc_resistance_short_broken_touches 3 ≥ 3 how long ago the short descending resistance broke feature.desc_resistance_short_hours_since_break 287 12 to 720 the support under the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_support rising rising how many times price has touched the short descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_short_touches 5 ≥ 3 the support under the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_support rising rising how many times price has touched the descending resistance feature.desc_resistance_touches 5 ≥ 3
Two other reading times we tried 4 and 1 matches
1 hour before (04:00): order book tilt -0.77 or lower, liquidation bunching 0.53 or higher, the descending resistance line is active 4h.
Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.77 and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.53 and the descending resistance line active_4h
4 matches: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 0 of 4, and 2% or more lower in 0 of 4.
Of the 4 matches, 3 came before the rise began, 1 during it and 0 after it.
4 hours before (01:00): upper wick (15m) 0.83 or higher, liquidation bunching 0.53 or higher, the descending resistance line is active 4h.
Upper wick · 15m ≥ 0.83 and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.53 and the descending resistance line active_4h
1 match: price was 2% or more higher after 30 minutes in 0 of 1, and 2% or more lower in 0 of 1.
Of the 1 match, 1 came before the rise began, 0 during it and 0 after it.
Fewer than 30 results, so no rate is printed.
No set had 30 matches before the rise; the saved study leads with the one that had the most.
Picked after the rise, on one market; the 11 matches came on 8 of 30 days.
Hourly candles around the risefull context, lead-up, move
The 05:00 start was picked after the move.
Hourly candles, UTC. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the selected start.
Other ways to test itsame dates
- This market only
- The 608 eligible crypto markets · No result for these markets has been measured.
- Every recorded market
- 518 sector crypto markets
- 27 gaming sector markets
Each opens Review the test.
Running needs a free account and uses your allowance; you see the cost first.
Starting defaults and coverage
Starting defaults: 2026-08-31 to 2026-09-30 UTC; finishes up 2% or more after 1 hour. Review or change the markets, dates, conditions and outcome before running. Current recorded classification and sector tags, not point-in-time membership. Historical membership may differ. Instrument history does not guarantee every setup input or outcome is present; actual study exclusions remain authoritative.