Counted on 2026-08-15, against a record covering to 2026-08-14 00:00 UTC. These numbers are frozen: this page will always say what it said the day it was written.
This move is in the event archive as a pump 4h on 2026-08-12. Open the archived event
Read at 1 minute before the move.
Minutes like this appeared only 14 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed leaned up: 8 of the 14 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (57%).
Of the 14 fires, 14 came before the move began; none were during it.
About 0.5 a day, on 10 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
Best supported: Book imbalance · top levels ≤ -0.55 and Engulfing · 1h bearish and Cascade clustering ≥ 0.55, the combination with the most fires before the move began.
Opens this exact search in the research tool. Nothing runs until you confirm it there, and arming it as an alert sends a message when it next becomes true.
No account? Replay a real move tick by tick, free: TUT short squeeze · 9 Aug 2026.
Picked in hindsight: the counts include every other time these readings appeared, not just this move.
Hourly candles. The marked lines are the minutes the readings came from: 1 minute, 15 minutes, 1 hour, 4 hours and 24 hours before the move began. Every one of them sits before the move, never inside it.
A reading stands out when it sits outside the range it usually holds. The rules are fixed: the same ones the moment reader on the research page uses.
| READING | BEFORE THE MOVE | SEARCHES FOR |
|---|---|---|
| Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance | -0.5517 | ≤ -0.55 |
| Engulfing · 1h feature.candle_engulfing_1h | bearish | bearish |
| Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index | 0.5589 | ≥ 0.55 |
| READING | BEFORE THE MOVE | SEARCHES FOR |
|---|---|---|
| Engulfing · 1h feature.candle_engulfing_1h | bearish | bearish |
| Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index | 0.5589 | ≥ 0.55 |
| READING | BEFORE THE MOVE | SEARCHES FOR |
|---|---|---|
| Compression · 15m feature.candle_compression_15m | 0.3109 | ≤ 0.32 |
| Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m | inside | inside |
| Engulfing · 1h feature.candle_engulfing_1h | bearish | bearish |
| Upper wick · 15m feature.candle_upper_wick_15m | 0.8 | ≥ 0.79 |
| Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index | 0.5589 | ≥ 0.55 |
| READING | BEFORE THE MOVE | SEARCHES FOR |
|---|---|---|
| Engulfing · 1h feature.candle_engulfing_1h | bullish | bullish |
| Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index | 0.5589 | ≥ 0.55 |
| Minutes to funding feature.mins_to_funding | 0 | ≤ 1 |
| Taker buy share · 15m feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m | 0.3204 | ≤ 0.33 |
| VWAP distance · day feature.vwap_dist | 0.03472 | ≥ 0.034 |
| READING | BEFORE THE MOVE | SEARCHES FOR |
|---|---|---|
| Book imbalance · top levels feature.book_imbalance | 0.9774 | ≥ 0.97 |
| Containment · 15m feature.candle_containment_15m | inside | inside |
| Cascade clustering feature.cascade_clustering_index | 0.5574 | ≥ 0.55 |
This is not a similarity search. Each count matches the exact readings above and nothing else.
Read at 15 minutes before the move.
Minutes like this appeared only 14 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed leaned up: 9 of the 14 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (64%).
Of the 14 fires, 14 came before the move began; none were during it.
About 0.5 a day, on 10 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
Read at 1 hour before the move.
Minutes like this appeared only 3 times in the 43,201 minutes searched. What followed leaned up: 2 of the 3 matches with a complete 30 minutes forward rose (67%).
Of the 3 fires, 2 came before the move began; none were during it.
About 0.1 a day, on 3 of 31 days: spread through the record rather than one event.
Fires often arrive as clusters of consecutive minutes, and forward windows overlap. A cluster is one episode, not many independent trials.
If these counts read weaker than the move suggested, that is the tool working: the lead-up of a picked move always looks special until it is counted everywhere else.
Every night the record counts what fired and what usually followed: the daily brief.