Research Readings Trailing one-hour realized volatility
Price and volatility
Trailing one-hour realized volatility
Realized return volatility over the trailing hour.
- Observed
- measured over the trailing hour
- Unit
- volatility
- Valid range
- 0 to 1
In plain English
Measures how dispersed the recorded minute-to-minute log returns were over the trailing hour. It describes past return variability, without a direction.
How to read it
The value is the population standard deviation of returns between consecutive non-empty minute cells inside the hour. A value of 0.001 means a 0.1% log-return standard deviation, not a 0.1% return over the hour. Higher values mean more dispersion. It is not annualized or multiplied by the square root of time. The full observation window and at least 30 returns are required; otherwise it is absent. Returns spanning empty minutes cover the gap rather than inserting zero returns.
Why a researcher might use it
Compare setups observed during more and less variable price paths. Read the hour's return and range separately to retain direction and excursion size.
What it does not prove
Low dispersion does not mean no trend: similarly sized returns can accumulate into a move. This reading does not describe every intraminute excursion, execution risk or the volatility of the next hour.
Technical details
Field ID
feature.realized_vol_1h
Valid query operators
at least, at most, between
Window operators: lowest, highest, average, latest or change in, over a trailing window.
Editable query preset
This preset is derived from the valid range. Edit it before running the search.
{
"schema_version": "research_query.v2",
"normalization_version": "archive_normalization.v1",
"feature_version": "feature_defs.v1",
"target": "record_occurrences",
"where": {
"all": [
[
"feature.realized_vol_1h",
"gte",
0.75
],
[
"times.anchor_time",
"gte",
"2025-07-15T00:00:00.000Z"
]
]
},
"sort": [
"times.anchor_time",
"desc"
],
"page": {
"limit": 5,
"cursor": null
}
}The search reports how often the record held this condition and what followed. It does not decide whether an idea works.
Related readings
- trailing one-hour return feature.ret_1h
- trailing one-hour range feature.range_pct_1h
- realized-volatility rank feature.realized_vol_pctrank