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PAXGUSDT

PAXG / TETHER USD · BINANCE USDT-M PERPETUAL

432 DAYS RECORDED · SINCE 2025-07-15
4359.09
-0.16% · 24H
Completed 1m close · 14:42 UTC · not live

Explore recorded price moves, open an archived event, or inspect the conditions at a minute you choose.

Check PAXGUSDT now →Inspect a past minuteAll PAXGUSDT events →
RESEARCH DETECTION PRO: OLDER REPLAYMODELLED MAP
4706454543844224
Aug 21Aug 29Sep 05Sep 13Sep 20UTC
30 days · Binance 4H candles · diamonds replay the exact moment a rule firedUNLOCK 30 OLDER MARKERS
> What the shaded rows are

Shaded rows mark prices where leveraged positions would be forced to close if price gets there, built from this market's own price and volume. A map of fuel, not a prediction: it says nothing about whether price will go there.

MAP TO 14:35 UTC · lf.v2

Across $1.45B of real liquidations, the brightest tenth of this map captured about 22% of the dollars - roughly twice what nearness to price alone explains.

Watch these levels move live

Squares open archived events; diamonds replay research detections. Research markers come from saved history; newer price moves may not yet have detections here.

Latest completed live state

Observed 3 minutes ago. Unpinned live pipeline.

PAXGUSDT: Sellers are dominating the tape.

This summary checks six defined conditions, not overall volatility. Inspect a minute to explore flow, positioning and available readings, then test a setup against history.

The 463 previous times this happened on PAXGUSDT, the median move over the next 24 hours was -0.08%, with a typical worst drawdown of -0.70% (446 of 463 with a complete 24h).

Measured over the minute ending 2026-09-20 14:40 UTC. Coverage and methodology

Inspect a minute or browse historical detections

Explore historical state

Current-minute reads are free after sign-in. Pro and Research include historical-minute inspection and comparison with an hour earlier.

Past readings use stored inputs where available. Recent minutes may use the live buffer and are labelled unpinned. Missing minutes remain visible.

Stored range: 2025-07-15 to 2026-09-20 (end exclusive). Coverage may contain gaps.

Read the available analytical inputs at one minute, including measurements over the preceding windows. Compare with an hour earlier, then take a reading into Research to test it. Dates are UTC.

Before the time above:

Browse older moments

Choose any recorded week. These markers are generated from stored readings; the latest summary above shows only selected moments.

2026-09-13 to 2026-09-19 UTC

Historical readings and tick replay have different coverage. Replay still checks your plan and the available recording. Choose an exact move to investigate.

HISTORICAL PROOF

What followed this setup before

HISTORICAL PROOF

One-sided tape: sellers

ACTIVE IN LATEST RECORD
463PRIOR TIMES
-0.08%MEDIAN 24H
-0.70%TYPICAL DRAWDOWN
09-17 22:21LAST FIRE
Replay one recorded example09-17 22:21 ▸ REPLAY
+ VIEW EVIDENCE AND EXACT DEFINITION- HIDE EVIDENCE AND EXACT DEFINITION
feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m<= 0.38EDGE-TRIGGEREDDEDUPE PT1H
BASE RATE · THIS SYMBOL
9,135 OF 43,201 (21.15%)
Eligible PAXGUSDT minutes · 2026-08-19 to 2026-09-18
463 occurrences · counted when it turns true after false; repeat fires consolidated
+ SHOW OCCURRENCES PER DAY- OCCURRENCES PER DAY · UTC · SUM 463 · ZERO DAYS KEEP THEIR SLOT
+ SHOW ALL HORIZONS- ALL HORIZONS
HorizonComputableMedian fwdMedian MFEMedian MAEReached >= +2%Reached <= -2%
30m461 · 2 PENDING+0.00%+0.06%-0.05%0 OF 461 (0.0%)0 OF 461 (0.0%)
1h460 · 3 PENDING+0.00%+0.09%-0.08%0 OF 461 (0.0%)1 OF 461 (0.2%)
4h459 · 4 PENDING+0.00%+0.19%-0.18%3 OF 459 (0.7%)6 OF 459 (1.3%)
24h446 · 17 PENDING-0.08%+0.50%-0.70%43 OF 446 (9.6%)66 OF 446 (14.8%)
MFE / MAE: the most the price moved for and against, from the moment it fired, past tense. Pending = the newest fires whose horizon has not closed yet; they stay counted and are never dropped.
A common condition with a flat distribution is a finding: the count says how often, not what to do.
+ SHOW THE FULL LADDER · 1H · +/-1/2/5/10/15/20%- THRESHOLD LADDER · 1H · CLOSED LIST +/-1/2/5/10/15/20%
>= +1%1 OF 461>= +2%0 OF 461>= +5%0 OF 461>= +10%0 OF 461>= +15%0 OF 461>= +20%0 OF 461<= -1%3 OF 461<= -2%1 OF 461<= -5%0 OF 461<= -10%0 OF 461<= -15%0 OF 461<= -20%0 OF 461
v2 · nrm.v1 · ft.v1 · rev live · q#00459ecc> RE-RUN THIS COUNT> THIS CONDITION ON EVERY SYMBOLALSO TRUE NOW: INJUSDT · KAITOUSDT · LABUSDT
Readings in this snapshot

What stands out in the latest record

No reading is far from its usual range in the latest record.

Continue from this record

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Full evidenceAll readings, tracked conditions, receipts, published research, archived events and API details.
State · latest recorded minute

What the latest PAXGUSDT record shows

39 of 45 readings present; each absent one states its reason. P82 = higher than on 82% of this market's recorded minutes. More: percentiles

What stands out in the latest record0 OF 39 READINGS
Nothing stands out in the latest record: every present reading is close to its usual level.
A reading stands out when it sits in the top or bottom tenth of its own record, or an uncommon state is on.
Key moments · fired rulesMarker guideLAST 30 DAYS
09-18 00:00 UTCPrice ranges compressed ▸ REPLAYInvestigate this moment
09-17 09:45 UTCSwept a level and reclaimed ▸ REPLAYInvestigate this moment
09-16 18:15 UTCSwept a level and reclaimed ▸ REPLAYInvestigate this moment
09-15 19:57 UTCSustained one-sided book ▸ REPLAYInvestigate this moment
09-14 10:19 UTCSustained one-sided book ▸ REPLAYInvestigate this moment
09-13 03:26 UTCObserved liquidation burst ▸ REPLAYInvestigate this moment
09-12 13:57 UTCSustained one-sided book ▸ REPLAYInvestigate this moment
09-11 22:33 UTCSustained one-sided book ▸ REPLAYInvestigate this moment
Free replay covers the latest fully archived UTC day on 6 major markets. Pro reaches 90 days; Research reaches the whole recorded order book, which begins 15 May 2026. Earlier days are searchable but hold no book, so they cannot be replayed. Access is checked when you open a replay. Each opens 30 minutes before the moment.
+ Full market read (45 readings)- Full market read (45 readings)
Flow10 READINGS
Toxic flow (VPIN)0.57·
VPIN regimeELEVATED·
Taker buy share · 15m0.16·
Large-trade share · 15m0.00·
Net taker flow · 1h-0.03·
Net taker flow · 4h-0.05·
Return · 15m-0.00%·
Return · 1h-0.00%·
Range · 1h0.00%·
Realized vol · 1h0.00%·
Realized vol percentile0.16P16
VWAP distance · day-0.05%·
Book3 READINGS
Book imbalance · top levels74% BID·
Book imbalance percentile0.44P44
Spread · normalized0.00·
Derivatives10 READINGS
Published premium indexABSENTNO READING THIS MINUTE
Premium index change over 1hABSENTNO READING THIS MINUTE
Premium index rank over 30dABSENTNO READING THIS MINUTE
Funding minus premium indexABSENTNO READING THIS MINUTE
Spot/perpetual close basisABSENTNO READING THIS MINUTE
Funding rate · latest observed+0.0050%·
Funding · normalized0.02·
Minutes to funding80SETTLES 16:00 UTC
OI change magnitude score0.34P34
Liquidation intensity0.00·
Liq notional · 1h$0·
Longs liquidated · 1h0.00·
Shorts liquidated · 1h0.00·
Liquidation side skew · 1hABSENTNO READING THIS MINUTE
Cascade clustering0.49·
Top-trader long share75.7%·
Global long share68.7%·
Top vs crowd skew7.0 PTS·
An absent reading shrinks every count it touches; it is never treated as zero.
Candles10 READINGS
Body share · 15m-1.00·
Body share · 1h-0.35·
Upper wick · 15m0.00·
Lower wick · 15m0.00·
Compression · 15m0.02·
Compression · 1h0.13·
Compression · 4h0.36·
Engulfing · 15mNONE·
Engulfing · 1hNONE·
Sweep + reclaim · 15mFALSE·
Sweep + reclaim · 1hFALSE·
Containment · 15mNONE·
Candle readings use the last completed candle, never the one forming. No completed candle: shown as absent, never guessed.
SNAPSHOT SOURCE · v2 · nrm.v1 · ft.v1 · rev liveUnpinned live pipeline snapshot. This source label is not a reproducible research key.> RUN THIS READ OVER THE API> WHAT THESE READINGS MEASURE
What followed · counted over the rolling window

All tracked conditions

1 of six tracked conditions is active on PAXGUSDT now. Open any condition to see its exact definition and recorded history.

> ALL CONDITIONS, ALL SYMBOLS
COUNTING WINDOW: 2026-08-19 TO 2026-09-18 (30 DAYS). DATA COVERAGE BEGINS 2025-07-15.

Toxic flow elevated

NOT ACTIVE IN LATEST RECORDAlert me

History is still being prepared for this condition.

+ VIEW EVIDENCE AND EXACT DEFINITION- HIDE EVIDENCE AND EXACT DEFINITION
feature.vpin>= 0.85EDGE-TRIGGEREDDEDUPE PT1H
BASE RATE · THIS SYMBOL
·
Not cached yet; the nightly refresh fills this.
> THIS CONDITION ON EVERY SYMBOL

Swept 12h lows and reclaimed

NOT ACTIVE IN LATEST RECORDAlert me

History is still being prepared for this condition.

+ VIEW EVIDENCE AND EXACT DEFINITION- HIDE EVIDENCE AND EXACT DEFINITION
feature.candle_sweep_reclaim_1h= TRUEEDGE-TRIGGEREDDEDUPE PT1H
BASE RATE · THIS SYMBOL
·
Not cached yet; the nightly refresh fills this.
> THIS CONDITION ON EVERY SYMBOL

One-sided tape: buyers

NOT ACTIVE IN LATEST RECORDAlert me

History is still being prepared for this condition.

+ VIEW EVIDENCE AND EXACT DEFINITION- HIDE EVIDENCE AND EXACT DEFINITION
feature.taker_buy_ratio_15m>= 0.62EDGE-TRIGGEREDDEDUPE PT1H
BASE RATE · THIS SYMBOL
·
Not cached yet; the nightly refresh fills this.
> THIS CONDITION ON EVERY SYMBOL

OI accelerating into liquidations

NOT ACTIVE IN LATEST RECORDAlert me

History is still being prepared for this condition.

+ VIEW EVIDENCE AND EXACT DEFINITION- HIDE EVIDENCE AND EXACT DEFINITION
feature.oi_velocity_pctrank>= 0.90ANDfeature.liq_notional_usd_1h>= $1MEDGE-TRIGGERED
BASE RATE · THIS SYMBOL
·
Not cached yet; the nightly refresh fills this.
> THIS CONDITION ON EVERY SYMBOL

Crowd long, leaders not

NOT ACTIVE IN LATEST RECORDAlert me

History is still being prepared for this condition.

+ VIEW EVIDENCE AND EXACT DEFINITION- HIDE EVIDENCE AND EXACT DEFINITION
feature.top_global_long_skew<= -10ANDfeature.global_long_ratio>= 0.65
BASE RATE · THIS SYMBOL
·
Not cached yet; the nightly refresh fills this.
> THIS CONDITION ON EVERY SYMBOL

More setups, counted nightly

Beyond the six above, 10 more setups are counted nightly on PAXGUSDT. None of the 10 measurable at the latest recorded minute is active.

Pro reveals for each of these what the six above already show: how often it has happened on this market, out of how many chances, and what followed each time. This page stays free; the deeper record is the paid part, and watching the page can never rebuild a past minute.

> SEE PRO PLANS
Research history · PAXGUSDT

Published research and archived events

> Investigate the latest PAXGUSDT moveMACHINE-READABLE INDEX: GET /api/research/reports
Published reports touching PAXGUSDT9
Crowd long share reached 70%Published 2026-09-05 · covers every recorded market
On record: 6,402 OF 60,275 minutes matched (10.6%)Since publication: 158 OF 2,038 (7.8%), 262 still open at 1H
Crowd long share reached 70%Published 2026-07-31 · covers every recorded market
On record: 884 OF 7,993 minutes matched (11.1%)Since publication: 699 OF 7,843 (8.9%), 751 still open at 1H

Observed examples in a selected archive, not a guarantee. Nothing here is trading advice.

> ALL PUBLISHED RESEARCH
Archived events · PAXGUSDT0

No archived events reference PAXGUSDT. Events archive when liquidation activity crosses the archive thresholds; nothing on this market has yet.

> THE EVENT ARCHIVE
API and reproducibilityKeys, canonical calls and machine-readable evidence.

Re-run this record

Fetch the recorded state with one call. Its reproducibility key returns the same canonical bytes later.

Get API key> API DOCUMENTATION

Cached re-runs do not spend research credits.

# the state block
GET /api/v1/research/snapshot?symbol=PAXGUSDT&t=last-complete
→ canonical bytes