READ 2026-07-31 04:41:03 UTC · BUCKET 23:59 · DATASET rev 2f4c3411

ARBUSDTMeasured state and what followed

ARB / TETHER USD · BINANCE USDT-M PERPETUAL · ONE OF 683 MARKETS RECORDED

55 DAYS RECORDED · SINCE 2026-05-1521 DAYS EXCLUDED
0.07743
-2.01% · 24H
LAST COMPLETE 1M CLOSE · 04:40 UTC · NOT A LIVE TICK
Open ARBUSDT in the terminal
Right now · ARBUSDT

None of the 6 market states this page tracks is active on ARBUSDT right now.

The most recent was One-sided tape: sellers (07-29 23:06 UTC). The 678 times it has fired on ARBUSDT, the median move over the next 24 hours was -0.37%, with a typical worst drawdown of -2.68% (663 of 678 with a complete 24h).

Measured over the minute ending 23:59 UTC.

Measured from 55 days of recorded ARB market data. Ask any number below again tomorrow: same answer.> HOW OUR PUBLISHED CLAIMS HAVE HELD UP
The record on ARBUSDT is 55 days deep, with 21 partition days excluded. State and base rates render on what exists; forward summaries render only once a state has at least 30 recorded occurrences. Absences are reported, never improvised. The record grows daily.
REPLAY MOMENT PRO: OLDER REPLAYMODELLED MAP
0.10240.09290.08350.0740
30 DAYS · BINANCE 4H CANDLES · DIAMONDS REPLAY THE EXACT MOMENT A RULE FIREDMAP TO 04:35 UTC · lf.v2UNLOCK 23 OLDER MARKERS
> What the shaded rows are

Shaded rows mark prices where leveraged positions would be forced to close if price gets there, built from this market's own price and volume. A map of fuel, not a prediction: it says nothing about whether price will go there.

Across $1.45B of real liquidations, the brightest tenth of this map captured about 22% of the dollars - roughly twice what nearness to price alone explains.

Watch these levels move live
State · the last measured minute

What ARBUSDT is doing right now

33 FEATURES, EACH COMPARED WITH ITS OWN 55-DAY RECORD · P82 = HIGHER THAN ON 82% OF THIS MARKET'S RECORDED MINUTES

Get a live readSIGN IN · FREE · THE LIVE READ IS THIS MINUTE; THIS PAGE READS THE RECORD
FlowTAPE · TOXICITY · PRICE · 10 FEATURES
Toxic flow (VPIN)0.23P54
VPIN regimeNORMAL·
Taker buy share · 15m0.48P46
Large-trade share · 15m0.00P00
Return · 15m+0.08%P61
Return · 1h+0.01%P53
Range · 1h0.71%P17
Realized vol · 1h0.08%P29
Realized vol percentile0.38P38
VWAP distance · day+1.21%P85
Book3 FEATURES
Book imbalance · top levels96% ASKP07
Book imbalance percentile0.86P86
Spread · normalized0.03P61
Key moments · fired rulesLAST 30 DAYS
07-30 00:00Swept the lows and reclaimed REPLAY
07-29 03:15Swept the lows and reclaimed REPLAY
07-28 22:30Book tipped hard to one side REPLAY
07-27 08:45Swept the lows and reclaimed REPLAY
07-26 03:30Swept the lows and reclaimed REPLAY
07-25 00:52Book tipped hard to one side REPLAY
07-24 11:00Swept the lows and reclaimed REPLAY
07-23 11:30Swept the lows and reclaimed REPLAYPRO
ANCHORS INSIDE THE 7-DAY FREE WINDOW (SINCE 2026-07-24) REPLAY FREE WITH AN ACCOUNT · OLDER ANCHORS ARE PRO · MARKER + 30M PRE-ROLL
DerivativesFUNDING · OI · LIQUIDATIONS · POSITIONING · 10 FEATURES
Funding rate · 8h+0.0100%P83
Funding · normalized0.03P65
Minutes to funding1SETTLES 00:00 UTC
OI velocity percentile0.25P25
Liquidation intensity0.00ZERO 99% OF THE TIME
Liq notional · 1h$0ZERO 42% OF THE TIME
Cascade clustering0.58P57
Top-trader long share62.8%P100
Global long share52.5%P16
Top vs crowd skew10.3 PTSP100
CandlesLAST COMPLETED 15M + 1H · 10 FEATURES
Body share · 15m0.41P74
Body share · 1h0.91P99
Upper wick · 15m0.14P33
Lower wick · 15m0.45P78
Compression · 15m0.47P06
Engulfing · 15mNONE·
Engulfing · 1hNONE·
Sweep + reclaim · 15mFALSE·
Sweep + reclaim · 1hFALSE·
Containment · 15mInsideUNCOMMON: THIS STATE 14.7% OF THE TIME
CANDLE FEATURES READ THE LAST COMPLETED CANDLE, NEVER THE ONE FORMING · NO COMPLETED CANDLE: SHOWN AS ABSENT, NEVER GUESSED
SNAPSHOT KEY · v2 · nrm.v1 · ft.v1 · rev 2f4c3411 · q#46ab405cSAME KEY, SAME BYTES · THE CACHE KEY IS THE RE-RUN PROOF> RUN THIS READ OVER THE API> WHAT THESE FEATURES MEASURE
What followed · counted on the record

Market states ARBUSDT is in right now

The same six market states are checked on every symbol page. None are active on ARBUSDT right now. For each: how often it has occurred on this market first (the base rate), then what followed each prior occurrence, measured forward over fixed horizons.

0 OF 6 ACTIVE NOW · 6 NOT ACTIVE · 0 NOT MEASURABLE> THE CONDITIONS INDEX: EVERY CONDITION, EVERY SYMBOL
THIS PAGE COUNTS THE FULL RECORD TO DATE: 2026-05-15 TO 2026-07-29 (55 DAYS), GROWING DAILY.

None of the six market states is active on ARBUSDT right now. The conditions index lists every state on every symbol.

More setups, counted nightly

Beyond the six above, 11 more setups are counted nightly on ARBUSDT. 1 of the 11 measurable this minute is active:

Pro reveals for each of these what the six above already show: how often it has happened on this market, out of how many chances, and what followed each time. This page stays free and refreshes all day; the record behind it is the paid part, and watching the free page can never rebuild a past minute.

> SEE PRO PLANS
Arm it · turn the measured setup into an alert

Let EdgeDepth watch ARBUSDT for you

Arming keeps the definition you just read running against live ARBUSDT data. When the same measured setup appears again, you get the exact values, the time it fired, and a replay link. You can inspect the lead-in and what followed without watching the terminal all day. A thin history arms the same way a deep one does; the count grows from here.

WATCHEvery completed minuteVERIFYExact values at the fireREPLAYThe lead-in and aftermath
Arm a definition for ARBUSDT> OPEN IN RESEARCH INSTEADFREE ACCOUNTS SAVE ALERTS IN EDGEDEPTH · PRO ADDS TELEGRAM + DISCORD DELIVERY AND OLDER REPLAY ACCESS · ONE CLICK PREFILLS THE EXACT CHIPS FOR CONFIRMATION
Research history · ARBUSDT

Published research and archived events

MACHINE-READABLE INDEX: GET /api/research/reports
Published reports touching ARBUSDT5

Observed examples in a selected archive, not a guarantee. Nothing here is trading advice.

Archived events · ARBUSDT0

NO ARCHIVED EVENTS REFERENCE ARBUSDT. EVENTS ARE ARCHIVED WHEN LIQUIDATION ACTIVITY CROSSES THE ARCHIVE THRESHOLDS; NOTHING ON THIS MARKET HAS YET.

API / MCP · research tier

Every number on this page re-runs.

Each panel above ends in its reproducibility key. The same reads are one call over the API, or tool calls from an AI agent over MCP: same key, same bytes, any account, any day.

SCANS SPEND MONTHLY CREDITS · A CACHED RE-RUN NEVER SPENDS

# the state block
GET /api/v1/research/snapshot?symbol=ARBUSDT&t=last-complete
canonical bytes · q#46ab405c
# any condition on this page
POST /api/v1/research/query {"target": "record_occurrences" }
occurrences + outcomes_summary, byte-identical
# the public report index
GET /api/research/reports
hash8 canonical url, machine-readable